Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a 100% implied probability for the Banco de la República to increase its benchmark policy rate at the March 31, 2026, meeting, reflecting persistent inflationary pressures despite a slight February CPI moderation to 5.29% annually from January's 5.35%—still well above the 3% target—and elevated core inflation at 5.53%. This follows the central bank's aggressive January 100 basis point hike to 10.25%, driven by resilient demand, minimum wage effects, and upward inflation expectations. The board's majority vote confirmed the second consecutive full-point increase to 11.25%, overriding Finance Minister Germán Ávila's protest walkout amid government opposition. Realistic challenges appear minimal post-decision, barring resolution disputes, with minutes release on April 8 offering further insight into policy path amid upcoming April inflation data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日利上げ 100.0%
利下げ <1%
据え置き <1%
$168,888 Vol.
$168,888 Vol.
2026/03/31
利下げ
いいえ
据え置き
いいえ
利上げ
はい
利上げ 100.0%
利下げ <1%
据え置き <1%
$168,888 Vol.
$168,888 Vol.
2026/03/31
利下げ
$142,004 Vol.
いいえ
据え置き
$10,000 Vol.
いいえ
利上げ
$16,883 Vol.
はい
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its March 31, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a 100% implied probability for the Banco de la República to increase its benchmark policy rate at the March 31, 2026, meeting, reflecting persistent inflationary pressures despite a slight February CPI moderation to 5.29% annually from January's 5.35%—still well above the 3% target—and elevated core inflation at 5.53%. This follows the central bank's aggressive January 100 basis point hike to 10.25%, driven by resilient demand, minimum wage effects, and upward inflation expectations. The board's majority vote confirmed the second consecutive full-point increase to 11.25%, overriding Finance Minister Germán Ávila's protest walkout amid government opposition. Realistic challenges appear minimal post-decision, barring resolution disputes, with minutes release on April 8 offering further insight into policy path amid upcoming April inflation data.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its March 31, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its March 31, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日： Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ET
音量
$168,888終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its March 31, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a 100% implied probability for the Banco de la República to increase its benchmark policy rate at the March 31, 2026, meeting, reflecting persistent inflationary pressures despite a slight February CPI moderation to 5.29% annually from January's 5.35%—still well above the 3% target—and elevated core inflation at 5.53%. This follows the central bank's aggressive January 100 basis point hike to 10.25%, driven by resilient demand, minimum wage effects, and upward inflation expectations. The board's majority vote confirmed the second consecutive full-point increase to 11.25%, overriding Finance Minister Germán Ávila's protest walkout amid government opposition. Realistic challenges appear minimal post-decision, barring resolution disputes, with minutes release on April 8 offering further insight into policy path amid upcoming April inflation data.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its March 31, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its March 31, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$168,888終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a 100% implied probability for the Banco de la República to increase its benchmark policy rate at the March 31, 2026, meeting, reflecting persistent inflationary pressures despite a slight February CPI moderation to 5.29% annually from January's 5.35%—still well above the 3% target—and elevated core inflation at 5.53%. This follows the central bank's aggressive January 100 basis point hike to 10.25%, driven by resilient demand, minimum wage effects, and upward inflation expectations. The board's majority vote confirmed the second consecutive full-point increase to 11.25%, overriding Finance Minister Germán Ávila's protest walkout amid government opposition. Realistic challenges appear minimal post-decision, barring resolution disputes, with minutes release on April 8 offering further insight into policy path amid upcoming April inflation data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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