Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race for Los Angeles metro median home value per Parcl Labs Sales Price Index (Parcl_ID: 2900078) on April 30, with 29.5% implied probability for $1.18-1.19 million, 24.5% for $1.17-1.18 million, and 19.5% for $1.19-1.20 million, signaling uncertainty over spring demand dynamics. Elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.5%—up sharply last week—continue suppressing buyer affordability despite modestly rising inventory and February sales volume up 11.5% month-over-month, though down 1.8% year-over-year amid softening prices (Redfin LA County median at $905,000, down 1.4% YoY). Key swing factors include late-April transaction pace and any rate relief ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?
What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?
1.18 - 1.19m 30%
1.17 - 1.18m 25%
1.19 - 1.2m 20%
<1.17m 16%
新規
新規
2026/04/30
<1.17m
16%
1.17 - 1.18m
25%
1.18 - 1.19m
30%
1.19 - 1.2m
20%
1.2 - 1.21m
8%
1.21 - 1.22m
6%
>1.22m
6%
1.18 - 1.19m 30%
1.17 - 1.18m 25%
1.19 - 1.2m 20%
<1.17m 16%
新規
新規
2026/04/30
<1.17m
$344 Vol.
16%
1.17 - 1.18m
$0 Vol.
25%
1.18 - 1.19m
$0 Vol.
30%
1.19 - 1.2m
$0 Vol.
20%
1.2 - 1.21m
$0 Vol.
8%
1.21 - 1.22m
$0 Vol.
6%
>1.22m
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race for Los Angeles metro median home value per Parcl Labs Sales Price Index (Parcl_ID: 2900078) on April 30, with 29.5% implied probability for $1.18-1.19 million, 24.5% for $1.17-1.18 million, and 19.5% for $1.19-1.20 million, signaling uncertainty over spring demand dynamics. Elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.5%—up sharply last week—continue suppressing buyer affordability despite modestly rising inventory and February sales volume up 11.5% month-over-month, though down 1.8% year-over-year amid softening prices (Redfin LA County median at $905,000, down 1.4% YoY). Key swing factors include late-April transaction pace and any rate relief ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
マーケット開始日： Mar 30, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race for Los Angeles metro median home value per Parcl Labs Sales Price Index (Parcl_ID: 2900078) on April 30, with 29.5% implied probability for $1.18-1.19 million, 24.5% for $1.17-1.18 million, and 19.5% for $1.19-1.20 million, signaling uncertainty over spring demand dynamics. Elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.5%—up sharply last week—continue suppressing buyer affordability despite modestly rising inventory and February sales volume up 11.5% month-over-month, though down 1.8% year-over-year amid softening prices (Redfin LA County median at $905,000, down 1.4% YoY). Key swing factors include late-April transaction pace and any rate relief ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race for Los Angeles metro median home value per Parcl Labs Sales Price Index (Parcl_ID: 2900078) on April 30, with 29.5% implied probability for $1.18-1.19 million, 24.5% for $1.17-1.18 million, and 19.5% for $1.19-1.20 million, signaling uncertainty over spring demand dynamics. Elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.5%—up sharply last week—continue suppressing buyer affordability despite modestly rising inventory and February sales volume up 11.5% month-over-month, though down 1.8% year-over-year amid softening prices (Redfin LA County median at $905,000, down 1.4% YoY). Key swing factors include late-April transaction pace and any rate relief ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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