Polymarket traders have priced near-even implied probabilities of 49.5% across the 429k–431k, 431k–433k, and 433k–435k bins for Parcl Labs' US median home value on April 30, signaling tight consensus for essential price stability amid a softening housing market. This reflects February's Zillow Home Value Index rise of just 0.1% month-over-month to $361k—though Parcl's higher median tracks similar stagnation—driven by persistent 6%+ mortgage rates curbing demand while inventory climbs 13% year-over-year per recent reports. Key differentiators include March existing home sales data and the FOMC meeting on April 29–30, where rate cut signals could spur buyer activity; absent surprises, trader sentiment favors minimal month-end drift around 432k.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日431 - 433k 48%
<429k 45%
429 - 431k 45%
433 - 435k 45%
新規
新規
2026/04/30
<429k
45%
429 - 431k
45%
431 - 433k
48%
433 - 435k
45%
435 - 437k
45%
437 - 439k
45%
439 - 441k
45%
>441k
45%
431 - 433k 48%
<429k 45%
429 - 431k 45%
433 - 435k 45%
新規
新規
2026/04/30
<429k
$0 Vol.
45%
429 - 431k
$0 Vol.
45%
431 - 433k
$0 Vol.
48%
433 - 435k
$0 Vol.
45%
435 - 437k
$0 Vol.
45%
437 - 439k
$0 Vol.
45%
439 - 441k
$0 Vol.
45%
>441k
$0 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
Polymarket traders have priced near-even implied probabilities of 49.5% across the 429k–431k, 431k–433k, and 433k–435k bins for Parcl Labs' US median home value on April 30, signaling tight consensus for essential price stability amid a softening housing market. This reflects February's Zillow Home Value Index rise of just 0.1% month-over-month to $361k—though Parcl's higher median tracks similar stagnation—driven by persistent 6%+ mortgage rates curbing demand while inventory climbs 13% year-over-year per recent reports. Key differentiators include March existing home sales data and the FOMC meeting on April 29–30, where rate cut signals could spur buyer activity; absent surprises, trader sentiment favors minimal month-end drift around 432k.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
マーケット開始日： Mar 30, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
Polymarket traders have priced near-even implied probabilities of 49.5% across the 429k–431k, 431k–433k, and 433k–435k bins for Parcl Labs' US median home value on April 30, signaling tight consensus for essential price stability amid a softening housing market. This reflects February's Zillow Home Value Index rise of just 0.1% month-over-month to $361k—though Parcl's higher median tracks similar stagnation—driven by persistent 6%+ mortgage rates curbing demand while inventory climbs 13% year-over-year per recent reports. Key differentiators include March existing home sales data and the FOMC meeting on April 29–30, where rate cut signals could spur buyer activity; absent surprises, trader sentiment favors minimal month-end drift around 432k.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders have priced near-even implied probabilities of 49.5% across the 429k–431k, 431k–433k, and 433k–435k bins for Parcl Labs' US median home value on April 30, signaling tight consensus for essential price stability amid a softening housing market. This reflects February's Zillow Home Value Index rise of just 0.1% month-over-month to $361k—though Parcl's higher median tracks similar stagnation—driven by persistent 6%+ mortgage rates curbing demand while inventory climbs 13% year-over-year per recent reports. Key differentiators include March existing home sales data and the FOMC meeting on April 29–30, where rate cut signals could spur buyer activity; absent surprises, trader sentiment favors minimal month-end drift around 432k.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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