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エコノミー·住宅·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?

Market icon
エコノミー·住宅·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?

327 - 330k 48.3%

324 - 327k 21%

330 - 333k 15.8%

336 - 339千ドル 14.8%

Polymarket

$12,332 Vol.

327 - 330k 48.3%

324 - 327k 21%

330 - 333k 15.8%

336 - 339千ドル 14.8%

Polymarket

$12,332 Vol.

<321k

$209 Vol.

7%

321 - 324k

$2,674 Vol.

5%

324 - 327k

$1,015 Vol.

21%

327 - 330k

$6,833 Vol.

53%

330 - 333k

$821 Vol.

14%

333 - 336k

$204 Vol.

1%

336 - 339千ドル

$210 Vol.

15%

339k超

$367 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/22)Polymarket traders' strong consensus at 47.9% implied probability for Chicago's median home value falling in the 327-330k range on April 1 reflects Parcl Labs' latest daily sales price index readings—adjusted by multiplying price-per-square-foot by the city's 1,500 sq ft median home size—hovering stably near $328k amid low inventory and nascent spring demand. February 2026 Illinois Realtors data shows Chicago metro single-family median sales prices up 5.3% year-over-year to $395k, with inventory down 10.6% and closed sales off 8%, sustaining upward pressure despite affordability strains from lingering high rates. Easing mortgage rates below 6% signal modest buyer return, but tight supply limits downside risk; resolution hinges on Parcl's April 1 publication, with final weekend transactions as key swing factor.

Polymarket traders' strong consensus at 47.9% implied probability for Chicago's median home value falling in the 327-330k range on April 1 reflects Parcl Labs' latest daily sales price index readings—adjusted by multiplying price-per-square-foot by the city's 1,500 sq ft median home size—hovering stably near $328k amid low inventory and nascent spring demand. February 2026 Illinois Realtors data shows Chicago metro single-family median sales prices up 5.3% year-over-year to $395k, with inventory down 10.6% and closed sales off 8%, sustaining upward pressure despite affordability strains from lingering high rates. Easing mortgage rates below 6% signal modest buyer return, but tight supply limits downside risk; resolution hinges on Parcl's April 1 publication, with final weekend transactions as key swing factor.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/22)Polymarket traders' strong consensus at 47.9% implied probability for Chicago's median home value falling in the 327-330k range on April 1 reflects Parcl Labs' latest daily sales price index readings—adjusted by multiplying price-per-square-foot by the city's 1,500 sq ft median home size—hovering stably near $328k amid low inventory and nascent spring demand. February 2026 Illinois Realtors data shows Chicago metro single-family median sales prices up 5.3% year-over-year to $395k, with inventory down 10.6% and closed sales off 8%, sustaining upward pressure despite affordability strains from lingering high rates. Easing mortgage rates below 6% signal modest buyer return, but tight supply limits downside risk; resolution hinges on Parcl's April 1 publication, with final weekend transactions as key swing factor.

Polymarket traders' strong consensus at 47.9% implied probability for Chicago's median home value falling in the 327-330k range on April 1 reflects Parcl Labs' latest daily sales price index readings—adjusted by multiplying price-per-square-foot by the city's 1,500 sq ft median home size—hovering stably near $328k amid low inventory and nascent spring demand. February 2026 Illinois Realtors data shows Chicago metro single-family median sales prices up 5.3% year-over-year to $395k, with inventory down 10.6% and closed sales off 8%, sustaining upward pressure despite affordability strains from lingering high rates. Easing mortgage rates below 6% signal modest buyer return, but tight supply limits downside risk; resolution hinges on Parcl's April 1 publication, with final weekend transactions as key swing factor.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「327 - 330k」で53%、次いで「324 - 327k」が21%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、53¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に53%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?」は$12.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 27, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?」の現在のフロントランナーは「327 - 330k」で53%であり、市場がこの結果に53%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「324 - 327k」で21%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。