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エコノミー·住宅·

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Parcl image

Parcl

4月1日のロサンゼルス大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？

Market icon
エコノミー·住宅·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

4月1日のロサンゼルス大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？

1.175 - 1.18百万 38%

1.18 - 1.185百万 20%

1.17百万未満 18.1%

1.17 - 1.175百万 17%

Polymarket
NEW

1.175 - 1.18百万 38%

1.18 - 1.185百万 20%

1.17百万未満 18.1%

1.17 - 1.175百万 17%

Polymarket
NEW

1.17百万未満

$0 Vol.

19%

1.17 - 1.175百万

$745 Vol.

18%

1.175 - 1.18百万

$0 Vol.

34%

1.18 - 1.185百万

$0 Vol.

28%

1.185 - 1.19百万

$439 Vol.

13%

1.19 - 1.195百万

$456 Vol.

7%

1.195〜1.2百万

$0 Vol.

2%

>1.2m

$0 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/16)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight clustering around $1.175–1.185 million for the Los Angeles metro area's median home value on April 1, with 33% implied probability for $1.175–1.18M edging out 28.5% for the next bin and 25.6% for below $1.17M, reflecting Parcl's daily index stability near $1.177 million amid low inventory levels—active listings in Los Angeles County held at roughly 11,500 in late February, down from summer peaks. Elevated mortgage rates near 6.8% have curbed sales volume, fostering a firm price floor despite year-over-year softening of 1–2% in February data from Redfin and Zillow. With resolution imminent in three days, minimal catalysts like fresh listings or economic releases leave swing factors tied to late-March transaction momentum.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight clustering around $1.175–1.185 million for the Los Angeles metro area's median home value on April 1, with 33% implied probability for $1.175–1.18M edging out 28.5% for the next bin and 25.6% for below $1.17M, reflecting Parcl's daily index stability near $1.177 million amid low inventory levels—active listings in Los Angeles County held at roughly 11,500 in late February, down from summer peaks. Elevated mortgage rates near 6.8% have curbed sales volume, fostering a firm price floor despite year-over-year softening of 1–2% in February data from Redfin and Zillow. With resolution imminent in three days, minimal catalysts like fresh listings or economic releases leave swing factors tied to late-March transaction momentum.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/16)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight clustering around $1.175–1.185 million for the Los Angeles metro area's median home value on April 1, with 33% implied probability for $1.175–1.18M edging out 28.5% for the next bin and 25.6% for below $1.17M, reflecting Parcl's daily index stability near $1.177 million amid low inventory levels—active listings in Los Angeles County held at roughly 11,500 in late February, down from summer peaks. Elevated mortgage rates near 6.8% have curbed sales volume, fostering a firm price floor despite year-over-year softening of 1–2% in February data from Redfin and Zillow. With resolution imminent in three days, minimal catalysts like fresh listings or economic releases leave swing factors tied to late-March transaction momentum.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight clustering around $1.175–1.185 million for the Los Angeles metro area's median home value on April 1, with 33% implied probability for $1.175–1.18M edging out 28.5% for the next bin and 25.6% for below $1.17M, reflecting Parcl's daily index stability near $1.177 million amid low inventory levels—active listings in Los Angeles County held at roughly 11,500 in late February, down from summer peaks. Elevated mortgage rates near 6.8% have curbed sales volume, fostering a firm price floor despite year-over-year softening of 1–2% in February data from Redfin and Zillow. With resolution imminent in three days, minimal catalysts like fresh listings or economic releases leave swing factors tied to late-March transaction momentum.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「4月1日のロサンゼルス大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「1.175 - 1.18百万」で34%、次いで「1.18 - 1.185百万」が28%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、34¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に34%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「4月1日のロサンゼルス大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Feb 27, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「4月1日のロサンゼルス大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「4月1日のロサンゼルス大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「1.175 - 1.18百万」で34%であり、市場がこの結果に34%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「1.18 - 1.185百万」で28%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「4月1日のロサンゼルス大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。