Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a San Francisco metro Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) of approximately $1.18 million on April 1, with the $1.175–1.185 million bin leading at 34% probability in a closely contested field—$1.185–1.195 million at 25% and $1.165–1.175 million at 19%. February's ZHVI stood at $1.114 million, up 0.6% month-over-month, propelled by record-low inventory (down over 37% year-over-year to under 550 units), median days-on-market shrinking to seven, and overbidding averaging 16% for single-family homes amid an AI-driven tech demand surge. Differentiating factors include March's accelerating sales velocity and persistent supply shortages versus steady 30-year mortgage rates near 6.8%; resolution awaits Zillow's daily update in 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 1?
What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 1?
1.175 - 1.185m 37%
1.185 - 1.195百万 25.1%
>1.195m 16%
1.165 - 1.175m 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
<1.125m
6%
1.125 - 1.135m
6%
1.135 - 1.145m
4%
1.145 - 1.155m
6%
1.155 - 1.165m
17%
1.165 - 1.175m
19%
1.175 - 1.185m
34%
1.185 - 1.195百万
25%
>1.195m
16%
1.175 - 1.185m 37%
1.185 - 1.195百万 25.1%
>1.195m 16%
1.165 - 1.175m 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
<1.125m
$111 Vol.
6%
1.125 - 1.135m
$842 Vol.
6%
1.135 - 1.145m
$297 Vol.
4%
1.145 - 1.155m
$631 Vol.
6%
1.155 - 1.165m
$139 Vol.
17%
1.165 - 1.175m
$801 Vol.
19%
1.175 - 1.185m
$224 Vol.
34%
1.185 - 1.195百万
$470 Vol.
25%
>1.195m
$481 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/20)Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a San Francisco metro Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) of approximately $1.18 million on April 1, with the $1.175–1.185 million bin leading at 34% probability in a closely contested field—$1.185–1.195 million at 25% and $1.165–1.175 million at 19%. February's ZHVI stood at $1.114 million, up 0.6% month-over-month, propelled by record-low inventory (down over 37% year-over-year to under 550 units), median days-on-market shrinking to seven, and overbidding averaging 16% for single-family homes amid an AI-driven tech demand surge. Differentiating factors include March's accelerating sales velocity and persistent supply shortages versus steady 30-year mortgage rates near 6.8%; resolution awaits Zillow's daily update in 48 hours.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/20)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/20)
マーケット開始日： Feb 27, 2026, 5:08 PM ET
音量
$3,995終了日
Apr 1, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 27, 2026, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/20)Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a San Francisco metro Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) of approximately $1.18 million on April 1, with the $1.175–1.185 million bin leading at 34% probability in a closely contested field—$1.185–1.195 million at 25% and $1.165–1.175 million at 19%. February's ZHVI stood at $1.114 million, up 0.6% month-over-month, propelled by record-low inventory (down over 37% year-over-year to under 550 units), median days-on-market shrinking to seven, and overbidding averaging 16% for single-family homes amid an AI-driven tech demand surge. Differentiating factors include March's accelerating sales velocity and persistent supply shortages versus steady 30-year mortgage rates near 6.8%; resolution awaits Zillow's daily update in 48 hours.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/20)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/20)
音量
$3,995終了日
Apr 1, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 27, 2026, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a San Francisco metro Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) of approximately $1.18 million on April 1, with the $1.175–1.185 million bin leading at 34% probability in a closely contested field—$1.185–1.195 million at 25% and $1.165–1.175 million at 19%. February's ZHVI stood at $1.114 million, up 0.6% month-over-month, propelled by record-low inventory (down over 37% year-over-year to under 550 units), median days-on-market shrinking to seven, and overbidding averaging 16% for single-family homes amid an AI-driven tech demand surge. Differentiating factors include March's accelerating sales velocity and persistent supply shortages versus steady 30-year mortgage rates near 6.8%; resolution awaits Zillow's daily update in 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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