Traders on Polymarket price a median U.S. home value of 425,000–427,500 on April 1 at 49.5% implied probability, reflecting Zillow's latest February Home Value Index (ZHVI) at approximately $425,000—up just 0.1% month-over-month amid persistent 6.8–7% 30-year mortgage rates and historically low housing inventory. This modest appreciation trajectory, supported by 4.5% year-over-year gains despite affordability strains, underpins the narrow leading bin, while the 31.2% odds on below 420,000 capture concerns over softening buyer demand signaled by a 4% drop in existing-home sales per NAR's February report. Consensus anticipates flat-to-slight March growth ahead of the next Zillow release, with Federal Reserve policy and upcoming jobless claims data as key swing factors for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月1日の米国の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？
4月1日の米国の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？
42万ドル未満 26.1%
427.5 - 430k 12.0%
42万2,500〜42万5,000 11%
43万〜43万2,500 3.3%
$16,247 Vol.
$16,247 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
42万ドル未満
26%
42万～42万2500ドル
13%
42万2,500〜42万5,000
23%
425 - 427.5千
52%
427.5 - 430k
16%
43万〜43万2,500
3%
432.5万〜435万ドル
27%
>43万5,000
2%
42万ドル未満 26.1%
427.5 - 430k 12.0%
42万2,500〜42万5,000 11%
43万〜43万2,500 3.3%
$16,247 Vol.
$16,247 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
42万ドル未満
$0 Vol.
26%
42万～42万2500ドル
$0 Vol.
13%
42万2,500〜42万5,000
$6,356 Vol.
23%
425 - 427.5千
$7,494 Vol.
52%
427.5 - 430k
$0 Vol.
16%
43万〜43万2,500
$0 Vol.
3%
432.5万〜435万ドル
$2,396 Vol.
27%
>43万5,000
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/17)Traders on Polymarket price a median U.S. home value of 425,000–427,500 on April 1 at 49.5% implied probability, reflecting Zillow's latest February Home Value Index (ZHVI) at approximately $425,000—up just 0.1% month-over-month amid persistent 6.8–7% 30-year mortgage rates and historically low housing inventory. This modest appreciation trajectory, supported by 4.5% year-over-year gains despite affordability strains, underpins the narrow leading bin, while the 31.2% odds on below 420,000 capture concerns over softening buyer demand signaled by a 4% drop in existing-home sales per NAR's February report. Consensus anticipates flat-to-slight March growth ahead of the next Zillow release, with Federal Reserve policy and upcoming jobless claims data as key swing factors for resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/17)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/17)
マーケット開始日： Feb 27, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
音量
$16,247終了日
Apr 1, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 27, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/17)Traders on Polymarket price a median U.S. home value of 425,000–427,500 on April 1 at 49.5% implied probability, reflecting Zillow's latest February Home Value Index (ZHVI) at approximately $425,000—up just 0.1% month-over-month amid persistent 6.8–7% 30-year mortgage rates and historically low housing inventory. This modest appreciation trajectory, supported by 4.5% year-over-year gains despite affordability strains, underpins the narrow leading bin, while the 31.2% odds on below 420,000 capture concerns over softening buyer demand signaled by a 4% drop in existing-home sales per NAR's February report. Consensus anticipates flat-to-slight March growth ahead of the next Zillow release, with Federal Reserve policy and upcoming jobless claims data as key swing factors for resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/17)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/17)
音量
$16,247終了日
Apr 1, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 27, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders on Polymarket price a median U.S. home value of 425,000–427,500 on April 1 at 49.5% implied probability, reflecting Zillow's latest February Home Value Index (ZHVI) at approximately $425,000—up just 0.1% month-over-month amid persistent 6.8–7% 30-year mortgage rates and historically low housing inventory. This modest appreciation trajectory, supported by 4.5% year-over-year gains despite affordability strains, underpins the narrow leading bin, while the 31.2% odds on below 420,000 capture concerns over softening buyer demand signaled by a 4% drop in existing-home sales per NAR's February report. Consensus anticipates flat-to-slight March growth ahead of the next Zillow release, with Federal Reserve policy and upcoming jobless claims data as key swing factors for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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