Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 44.5% implied probability for DC metro median home value falling in the 548-554k range on April 1, reflecting modest month-over-month softening from February's Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) typical value of approximately $572k amid rising inventory and extended days on market. Recent March reports highlight a 18% inventory surge, average contract pendency climbing to 46 days, and persistent 6% mortgage rates suppressing buyer demand, compounded by federal government hiring uncertainty weakening regional absorption. Lower bins like 542-548k (11.3%) and >554k (10.4%) capture swing risks from final March sales data, with resolution imminent per the market's specified source.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月1日のワシントンD.C.メトロエリアの住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？
4月1日のワシントンD.C.メトロエリアの住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？
548〜554千 49.5%
53万〜53.6万ドル 13%
54万2千〜54万8千ドル 12.3%
>554k 11.5%
$11,034 Vol.
$11,034 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
<518k
2%
518〜524千ドル
6%
524〜530千ドル
3%
53万〜53.6万ドル
10%
536〜542千ドル
8%
54万2千〜54万8千ドル
12%
548〜554千
46%
>554k
12%
548〜554千 49.5%
53万〜53.6万ドル 13%
54万2千〜54万8千ドル 12.3%
>554k 11.5%
$11,034 Vol.
$11,034 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
<518k
$381 Vol.
2%
518〜524千ドル
$391 Vol.
6%
524〜530千ドル
$0 Vol.
3%
53万〜53.6万ドル
$827 Vol.
10%
536〜542千ドル
$1,087 Vol.
8%
54万2千〜54万8千ドル
$7,094 Vol.
12%
548〜554千
$789 Vol.
46%
>554k
$465 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 44.5% implied probability for DC metro median home value falling in the 548-554k range on April 1, reflecting modest month-over-month softening from February's Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) typical value of approximately $572k amid rising inventory and extended days on market. Recent March reports highlight a 18% inventory surge, average contract pendency climbing to 46 days, and persistent 6% mortgage rates suppressing buyer demand, compounded by federal government hiring uncertainty weakening regional absorption. Lower bins like 542-548k (11.3%) and >554k (10.4%) capture swing risks from final March sales data, with resolution imminent per the market's specified source.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)
マーケット開始日： Feb 27, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
音量
$11,034終了日
Apr 1, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 27, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 44.5% implied probability for DC metro median home value falling in the 548-554k range on April 1, reflecting modest month-over-month softening from February's Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) typical value of approximately $572k amid rising inventory and extended days on market. Recent March reports highlight a 18% inventory surge, average contract pendency climbing to 46 days, and persistent 6% mortgage rates suppressing buyer demand, compounded by federal government hiring uncertainty weakening regional absorption. Lower bins like 542-548k (11.3%) and >554k (10.4%) capture swing risks from final March sales data, with resolution imminent per the market's specified source.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)
音量
$11,034終了日
Apr 1, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 27, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 44.5% implied probability for DC metro median home value falling in the 548-554k range on April 1, reflecting modest month-over-month softening from February's Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) typical value of approximately $572k amid rising inventory and extended days on market. Recent March reports highlight a 18% inventory surge, average contract pendency climbing to 46 days, and persistent 6% mortgage rates suppressing buyer demand, compounded by federal government hiring uncertainty weakening regional absorption. Lower bins like 542-548k (11.3%) and >554k (10.4%) capture swing risks from final March sales data, with resolution imminent per the market's specified source.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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