Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest between the 542-548k (47.6%) and 548-554k (39.0%) bins for DC Metro area's median home value on April 1, reflecting uncertainty over March's month-over-month trajectory amid rising inventory and stabilizing demand. February Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) data showed flat-to-slightly declining typical values around the mid-$570k range nationally and locally, pressured by an 18% inventory surge offsetting 8.6% year-over-year gains in contract activity as mortgage rates eased marginally. Key swing factors include federal employment stability amid DOGE-related cuts and government operations, with persistent high 30-year fixed rates near 6.8% capping buyer affordability. Resolution looms in days via Zillow's latest ZHVI snapshot, where even modest softening could tip the scales.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月1日のワシントンD.C.メトロエリアの住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？
4月1日のワシントンD.C.メトロエリアの住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？
548〜554千 49.5%
54万2千〜54万8千ドル 36.3%
536〜542千ドル 26%
53万〜53.6万ドル 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
<518k
1%
518〜524千ドル
7%
524〜530千ドル
3%
53万〜53.6万ドル
21%
536〜542千ドル
23%
54万2千〜54万8千ドル
36%
548〜554千
39%
>554k
19%
548〜554千 49.5%
54万2千〜54万8千ドル 36.3%
536〜542千ドル 26%
53万〜53.6万ドル 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
<518k
$381 Vol.
1%
518〜524千ドル
$391 Vol.
7%
524〜530千ドル
$0 Vol.
3%
53万〜53.6万ドル
$0 Vol.
21%
536〜542千ドル
$0 Vol.
23%
54万2千〜54万8千ドル
$6,949 Vol.
36%
548〜554千
$680 Vol.
39%
>554k
$465 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest between the 542-548k (47.6%) and 548-554k (39.0%) bins for DC Metro area's median home value on April 1, reflecting uncertainty over March's month-over-month trajectory amid rising inventory and stabilizing demand. February Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) data showed flat-to-slightly declining typical values around the mid-$570k range nationally and locally, pressured by an 18% inventory surge offsetting 8.6% year-over-year gains in contract activity as mortgage rates eased marginally. Key swing factors include federal employment stability amid DOGE-related cuts and government operations, with persistent high 30-year fixed rates near 6.8% capping buyer affordability. Resolution looms in days via Zillow's latest ZHVI snapshot, where even modest softening could tip the scales.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)
マーケット開始日： Feb 27, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
音量
$8,865終了日
Apr 1, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 27, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest between the 542-548k (47.6%) and 548-554k (39.0%) bins for DC Metro area's median home value on April 1, reflecting uncertainty over March's month-over-month trajectory amid rising inventory and stabilizing demand. February Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) data showed flat-to-slightly declining typical values around the mid-$570k range nationally and locally, pressured by an 18% inventory surge offsetting 8.6% year-over-year gains in contract activity as mortgage rates eased marginally. Key swing factors include federal employment stability amid DOGE-related cuts and government operations, with persistent high 30-year fixed rates near 6.8% capping buyer affordability. Resolution looms in days via Zillow's latest ZHVI snapshot, where even modest softening could tip the scales.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)
音量
$8,865終了日
Apr 1, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 27, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest between the 542-548k (47.6%) and 548-554k (39.0%) bins for DC Metro area's median home value on April 1, reflecting uncertainty over March's month-over-month trajectory amid rising inventory and stabilizing demand. February Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) data showed flat-to-slightly declining typical values around the mid-$570k range nationally and locally, pressured by an 18% inventory surge offsetting 8.6% year-over-year gains in contract activity as mortgage rates eased marginally. Key swing factors include federal employment stability amid DOGE-related cuts and government operations, with persistent high 30-year fixed rates near 6.8% capping buyer affordability. Resolution looms in days via Zillow's latest ZHVI snapshot, where even modest softening could tip the scales.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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