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Parcl

What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?

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エコノミー·新規から非表示·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?

575 - 580k 41.9%

580 - 585k 28.6%

590 - 595k 6.0%

570 - 575k 3.1%

Polymarket

$14,269 Vol.

575 - 580k 41.9%

580 - 585k 28.6%

590 - 595k 6.0%

570 - 575k 3.1%

Polymarket

$14,269 Vol.

<570k

$1,310 Vol.

2%

570 - 575k

$944 Vol.

3%

575 - 580k

$1,464 Vol.

42%

580 - 585k

$1,582 Vol.

38%

585 - 590k

$3,477 Vol.

2%

590 - 595k

$2,320 Vol.

8%

595 - 600k

$1,795 Vol.

2%

>600k

$1,379 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a dead heat for New York City median home value on April 1, with 580-585k (37.8%) edging 575-580k (37.6%) amid February Parcl index readings hovering near $588,000—buoyed by persistent low inventory and 2.3% year-over-year median sale price gains to $880,000 per Redfin data. Key differentiators include resilient demand in premium boroughs like Manhattan, where sales prices climbed amid strengthening buyer activity, versus caution from 72-day average days on market (up year-over-year) and elevated 30-year mortgage rates curbing transactions. With resolution imminent via Parcl's daily-updated index, late-March listing trends and any inventory uptick could tip the balance in this closely contested market.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a dead heat for New York City median home value on April 1, with 580-585k (37.8%) edging 575-580k (37.6%) amid February Parcl index readings hovering near $588,000—buoyed by persistent low inventory and 2.3% year-over-year median sale price gains to $880,000 per Redfin data. Key differentiators include resilient demand in premium boroughs like Manhattan, where sales prices climbed amid strengthening buyer activity, versus caution from 72-day average days on market (up year-over-year) and elevated 30-year mortgage rates curbing transactions. With resolution imminent via Parcl's daily-updated index, late-March listing trends and any inventory uptick could tip the balance in this closely contested market.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a dead heat for New York City median home value on April 1, with 580-585k (37.8%) edging 575-580k (37.6%) amid February Parcl index readings hovering near $588,000—buoyed by persistent low inventory and 2.3% year-over-year median sale price gains to $880,000 per Redfin data. Key differentiators include resilient demand in premium boroughs like Manhattan, where sales prices climbed amid strengthening buyer activity, versus caution from 72-day average days on market (up year-over-year) and elevated 30-year mortgage rates curbing transactions. With resolution imminent via Parcl's daily-updated index, late-March listing trends and any inventory uptick could tip the balance in this closely contested market.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a dead heat for New York City median home value on April 1, with 580-585k (37.8%) edging 575-580k (37.6%) amid February Parcl index readings hovering near $588,000—buoyed by persistent low inventory and 2.3% year-over-year median sale price gains to $880,000 per Redfin data. Key differentiators include resilient demand in premium boroughs like Manhattan, where sales prices climbed amid strengthening buyer activity, versus caution from 72-day average days on market (up year-over-year) and elevated 30-year mortgage rates curbing transactions. With resolution imminent via Parcl's daily-updated index, late-March listing trends and any inventory uptick could tip the balance in this closely contested market.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「575 - 580k」で42%、次いで「580 - 585k」が38%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、42¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に42%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?」は$14.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 27, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?」の現在のフロントランナーは「575 - 580k」で42%であり、市場がこの結果に42%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「580 - 585k」で38%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。