Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a New York City median home value of approximately $580,000 on April 1, with 42.9% probability for 580-585k and 30.4% for 575-580k, driven by February Parcl Labs index stability around these levels amid rising inventory (up 2% YoY in NY metro per Realtor.com data) and softening median list prices (-2.3% YoY at $749k). Zillow's February ZHVI rose 4% YoY to $813k, signaling underlying value growth, but high mortgage rates near 6.8% and seasonal winter slowdowns cap near-term upside. With resolution imminent via Parcl's monthly update, low-volume tail outcomes reflect limited catalysts for deviation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?
What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?
575 - 580k 43.5%
580 - 585k 28.6%
585 - 590k 18%
590 - 595k 6.0%
$13,097 Vol.
$13,097 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
<570k
2%
570 - 575k
1%
575 - 580k
30%
580 - 585k
38%
585 - 590k
18%
590 - 595k
8%
595 - 600k
3%
>600k
4%
575 - 580k 43.5%
580 - 585k 28.6%
585 - 590k 18%
590 - 595k 6.0%
$13,097 Vol.
$13,097 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
<570k
$1,300 Vol.
2%
570 - 575k
$876 Vol.
1%
575 - 580k
$1,402 Vol.
30%
580 - 585k
$1,582 Vol.
38%
585 - 590k
$3,009 Vol.
18%
590 - 595k
$2,320 Vol.
8%
595 - 600k
$1,428 Vol.
3%
>600k
$1,180 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a New York City median home value of approximately $580,000 on April 1, with 42.9% probability for 580-585k and 30.4% for 575-580k, driven by February Parcl Labs index stability around these levels amid rising inventory (up 2% YoY in NY metro per Realtor.com data) and softening median list prices (-2.3% YoY at $749k). Zillow's February ZHVI rose 4% YoY to $813k, signaling underlying value growth, but high mortgage rates near 6.8% and seasonal winter slowdowns cap near-term upside. With resolution imminent via Parcl's monthly update, low-volume tail outcomes reflect limited catalysts for deviation.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)
マーケット開始日： Feb 27, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
音量
$13,097終了日
Apr 1, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 27, 2026, 4:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a New York City median home value of approximately $580,000 on April 1, with 42.9% probability for 580-585k and 30.4% for 575-580k, driven by February Parcl Labs index stability around these levels amid rising inventory (up 2% YoY in NY metro per Realtor.com data) and softening median list prices (-2.3% YoY at $749k). Zillow's February ZHVI rose 4% YoY to $813k, signaling underlying value growth, but high mortgage rates near 6.8% and seasonal winter slowdowns cap near-term upside. With resolution imminent via Parcl's monthly update, low-volume tail outcomes reflect limited catalysts for deviation.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)
音量
$13,097終了日
Apr 1, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 27, 2026, 4:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a New York City median home value of approximately $580,000 on April 1, with 42.9% probability for 580-585k and 30.4% for 575-580k, driven by February Parcl Labs index stability around these levels amid rising inventory (up 2% YoY in NY metro per Realtor.com data) and softening median list prices (-2.3% YoY at $749k). Zillow's February ZHVI rose 4% YoY to $813k, signaling underlying value growth, but high mortgage rates near 6.8% and seasonal winter slowdowns cap near-term upside. With resolution imminent via Parcl's monthly update, low-volume tail outcomes reflect limited catalysts for deviation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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