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Will gas hit __ by end of April?

Market icon

Will gas hit __ by end of April?

新規
2026/04/30
Polymarket

$4,777 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $5.00

$140 Vol.

9%

↑ $4.75

$130 Vol.

16%

↑ $4.50

$219 Vol.

50%

↑ $4.25

$334 Vol.

76%

↑ $4.15

$40 Vol.

86%

↑ $4.05

$2,092 Vol.

99%

↓ $3.95

$325 Vol.

82%

↓ $3.85

$1,106 Vol.

54%

↓ $3.75

$39 Vol.

30%

↓ $3.50

$0 Vol.

41%

↓ $3.25

$0 Vol.

11%

↓ $3.00

$351 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. national average gasoline prices have surged to around $4 per gallon as of early April 2026, up over $1 since late February, primarily due to escalating Middle East tensions following U.S. and Israeli military actions against Iran that disrupted oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Crude oil prices exceeding $100 per barrel have amplified supply fears amid refinery constraints and rising spring driving demand during spring break travel. Traders weigh ongoing conflict risks against potential de-escalation signals or Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, with seasonal summer demand buildup and OPEC responses as key upcoming catalysts through month's end that could push prices higher or stabilize them. EIA weekly reports and diplomatic developments remain critical monitors for resolution by April 30.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
音量
$4,777
終了日
2026/04/30
マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. national average gasoline prices have surged to around $4 per gallon as of early April 2026, up over $1 since late February, primarily due to escalating Middle East tensions following U.S. and Israeli military actions against Iran that disrupted oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Crude oil prices exceeding $100 per barrel have amplified supply fears amid refinery constraints and rising spring driving demand during spring break travel. Traders weigh ongoing conflict risks against potential de-escalation signals or Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, with seasonal summer demand buildup and OPEC responses as key upcoming catalysts through month's end that could push prices higher or stabilize them. EIA weekly reports and diplomatic developments remain critical monitors for resolution by April 30.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
音量
$4,777
終了日
2026/04/30
マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Will gas hit __ by end of April?」はPolymarket上の12個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「↑ $4.05」で99%、次いで「↑ $4.15」が86%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、99¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に99%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Will gas hit __ by end of April?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Mar 31, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Will gas hit __ by end of April?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている12個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Will gas hit __ by end of April?」の現在のフロントランナーは「↑ $4.05」で99%であり、市場がこの結果に99%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「↑ $4.15」で86%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Will gas hit __ by end of April?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。