Yemen's Houthi rebels, backed by Iran, persist with intermittent ballistic missile and drone launches toward Israel in solidarity with Hamas amid the Gaza war, though Israeli air defenses have intercepted all recent attempts, including a claimed strike on Ben Gurion Airport on September 27. Israel's retaliatory airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen, such as ports and a radar site near Sanaa last week, alongside ongoing US military actions against Houthi maritime threats in the Red Sea, have degraded capabilities without halting attacks. Traders assess escalation risks tied to Gaza ceasefire negotiations or broader regional tensions, with no confirmed Houthi strikes landing on Israeli soil since the conflict's onset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$595,927 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
3月31日
5%
4月15日
28%
$595,927 Vol.
3月31日
$574,111 Vol.
5%
4月15日
$21,815 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Houthi rebels, backed by Iran, persist with intermittent ballistic missile and drone launches toward Israel in solidarity with Hamas amid the Gaza war, though Israeli air defenses have intercepted all recent attempts, including a claimed strike on Ben Gurion Airport on September 27. Israel's retaliatory airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen, such as ports and a radar site near Sanaa last week, alongside ongoing US military actions against Houthi maritime threats in the Red Sea, have degraded capabilities without halting attacks. Traders assess escalation risks tied to Gaza ceasefire negotiations or broader regional tensions, with no confirmed Houthi strikes landing on Israeli soil since the conflict's onset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
マーケット開始日： Mar 2, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
音量
$595,927終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 2, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Houthi rebels, backed by Iran, persist with intermittent ballistic missile and drone launches toward Israel in solidarity with Hamas amid the Gaza war, though Israeli air defenses have intercepted all recent attempts, including a claimed strike on Ben Gurion Airport on September 27. Israel's retaliatory airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen, such as ports and a radar site near Sanaa last week, alongside ongoing US military actions against Houthi maritime threats in the Red Sea, have degraded capabilities without halting attacks. Traders assess escalation risks tied to Gaza ceasefire negotiations or broader regional tensions, with no confirmed Houthi strikes landing on Israeli soil since the conflict's onset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
音量
$595,927終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 2, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Houthi rebels, backed by Iran, persist with intermittent ballistic missile and drone launches toward Israel in solidarity with Hamas amid the Gaza war, though Israeli air defenses have intercepted all recent attempts, including a claimed strike on Ben Gurion Airport on September 27. Israel's retaliatory airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen, such as ports and a radar site near Sanaa last week, alongside ongoing US military actions against Houthi maritime threats in the Red Sea, have degraded capabilities without halting attacks. Traders assess escalation risks tied to Gaza ceasefire negotiations or broader regional tensions, with no confirmed Houthi strikes landing on Israeli soil since the conflict's onset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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