Yemen's Houthi rebels resumed ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israel starting March 28, 2026—their first direct strikes since a prior Gaza ceasefire—targeting southern sites and vowing continued operations in coordination with Iran and Hezbollah, with a second barrage reported April 1. Israel has intercepted these projectiles without launching verified retaliatory airstrikes or other military action against Houthi positions in Yemen over the past three weeks, prioritizing escalation against Iran following U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed Supreme Leader Khamenei on March 1 and subsequent barrages. U.S.-led coalition operations continue targeting Houthi threats in the Red Sea. Unverified rumors suggest Israeli planning via bases in Somalia, but no diplomatic de-escalation signals or scheduled summits alter the standoff, leaving room for rapid shifts if Houthis blockade Bab al-Mandab Strait.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,628,399 Vol.
2026/04/30
4月30日
6%
5月31日
19%
6月30日
26%
$1,628,399 Vol.
4月30日
$210,367 Vol.
6%
5月31日
$77,465 Vol.
19%
6月30日
$438,980 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Yemen's Houthi rebels resumed ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israel starting March 28, 2026—their first direct strikes since a prior Gaza ceasefire—targeting southern sites and vowing continued operations in coordination with Iran and Hezbollah, with a second barrage reported April 1. Israel has intercepted these projectiles without launching verified retaliatory airstrikes or other military action against Houthi positions in Yemen over the past three weeks, prioritizing escalation against Iran following U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed Supreme Leader Khamenei on March 1 and subsequent barrages. U.S.-led coalition operations continue targeting Houthi threats in the Red Sea. Unverified rumors suggest Israeli planning via bases in Somalia, but no diplomatic de-escalation signals or scheduled summits alter the standoff, leaving room for rapid shifts if Houthis blockade Bab al-Mandab Strait.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 18, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
音量
$1,628,399終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Mar 18, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Yemen's Houthi rebels resumed ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israel starting March 28, 2026—their first direct strikes since a prior Gaza ceasefire—targeting southern sites and vowing continued operations in coordination with Iran and Hezbollah, with a second barrage reported April 1. Israel has intercepted these projectiles without launching verified retaliatory airstrikes or other military action against Houthi positions in Yemen over the past three weeks, prioritizing escalation against Iran following U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed Supreme Leader Khamenei on March 1 and subsequent barrages. U.S.-led coalition operations continue targeting Houthi threats in the Red Sea. Unverified rumors suggest Israeli planning via bases in Somalia, but no diplomatic de-escalation signals or scheduled summits alter the standoff, leaving room for rapid shifts if Houthis blockade Bab al-Mandab Strait.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,628,399終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Mar 18, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Houthi rebels resumed ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israel starting March 28, 2026—their first direct strikes since a prior Gaza ceasefire—targeting southern sites and vowing continued operations in coordination with Iran and Hezbollah, with a second barrage reported April 1. Israel has intercepted these projectiles without launching verified retaliatory airstrikes or other military action against Houthi positions in Yemen over the past three weeks, prioritizing escalation against Iran following U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed Supreme Leader Khamenei on March 1 and subsequent barrages. U.S.-led coalition operations continue targeting Houthi threats in the Red Sea. Unverified rumors suggest Israeli planning via bases in Somalia, but no diplomatic de-escalation signals or scheduled summits alter the standoff, leaving room for rapid shifts if Houthis blockade Bab al-Mandab Strait.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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