Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated direct military action against Israel in early April 2026, claiming joint missile and drone strikes on Ben Gurion Airport and Eilat military sites coordinated with Iran and Hezbollah on April 6—the most recent major verified incident amid broader regional tensions. This marked a resumption after pausing attacks post-2025 Gaza ceasefire, with over 130 ballistic missiles and dozens of drones launched since late March. Israeli forces intercepted most projectiles, prompting retaliatory airstrikes on Houthi targets. No confirmed strikes have occurred in the past 28 days, but ongoing threats of escalation persist alongside potential Red Sea shipping disruptions and US naval presence in the Gulf, key factors traders weigh for near-term probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$80,320 Vol.
2026/04/30
4月15日
いいえ
4月30日
いいえ
$80,320 Vol.
4月15日
$38,630 Vol.
いいえ
4月30日
$41,690 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated direct military action against Israel in early April 2026, claiming joint missile and drone strikes on Ben Gurion Airport and Eilat military sites coordinated with Iran and Hezbollah on April 6—the most recent major verified incident amid broader regional tensions. This marked a resumption after pausing attacks post-2025 Gaza ceasefire, with over 130 ballistic missiles and dozens of drones launched since late March. Israeli forces intercepted most projectiles, prompting retaliatory airstrikes on Houthi targets. No confirmed strikes have occurred in the past 28 days, but ongoing threats of escalation persist alongside potential Red Sea shipping disruptions and US naval presence in the Gulf, key factors traders weigh for near-term probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
マーケット開始日： Apr 8, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
音量
$80,320終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated direct military action against Israel in early April 2026, claiming joint missile and drone strikes on Ben Gurion Airport and Eilat military sites coordinated with Iran and Hezbollah on April 6—the most recent major verified incident amid broader regional tensions. This marked a resumption after pausing attacks post-2025 Gaza ceasefire, with over 130 ballistic missiles and dozens of drones launched since late March. Israeli forces intercepted most projectiles, prompting retaliatory airstrikes on Houthi targets. No confirmed strikes have occurred in the past 28 days, but ongoing threats of escalation persist alongside potential Red Sea shipping disruptions and US naval presence in the Gulf, key factors traders weigh for near-term probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
音量
$80,320終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated direct military action against Israel in early April 2026, claiming joint missile and drone strikes on Ben Gurion Airport and Eilat military sites coordinated with Iran and Hezbollah on April 6—the most recent major verified incident amid broader regional tensions. This marked a resumption after pausing attacks post-2025 Gaza ceasefire, with over 130 ballistic missiles and dozens of drones launched since late March. Israeli forces intercepted most projectiles, prompting retaliatory airstrikes on Houthi targets. No confirmed strikes have occurred in the past 28 days, but ongoing threats of escalation persist alongside potential Red Sea shipping disruptions and US naval presence in the Gulf, key factors traders weigh for near-term probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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