Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations amid the February 2026 war have stalled on core demands for Iran to end all uranium enrichment and surrender enriched stockpiles, with Trump administration officials stating Tehran refuses zero-enrichment on its soil despite severe damage to Natanz and Fordow facilities from U.S.-Israeli airstrikes. IAEA reports from late February confirm inability to verify any suspension of enrichment activities, while Netanyahu claimed March 19 that Iran lacks capacity following strikes. Recent pauses in attacks on Iranian energy infrastructure and extended deadlines announced March 26-27 reflect diplomatic maneuvering, but traders' 82% "No" consensus reflects Iran's hardened posture, historical resistance to full nuclear curbs, and absence of public commitments, with April 30 barriers including unresolved sanctions relief and verification disputes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$132,567 Vol.
$132,567 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
はい
$132,567 Vol.
$132,567 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations amid the February 2026 war have stalled on core demands for Iran to end all uranium enrichment and surrender enriched stockpiles, with Trump administration officials stating Tehran refuses zero-enrichment on its soil despite severe damage to Natanz and Fordow facilities from U.S.-Israeli airstrikes. IAEA reports from late February confirm inability to verify any suspension of enrichment activities, while Netanyahu claimed March 19 that Iran lacks capacity following strikes. Recent pauses in attacks on Iranian energy infrastructure and extended deadlines announced March 26-27 reflect diplomatic maneuvering, but traders' 82% "No" consensus reflects Iran's hardened posture, historical resistance to full nuclear curbs, and absence of public commitments, with April 30 barriers including unresolved sanctions relief and verification disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ET
音量
$132,567終了日
Apr 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations amid the February 2026 war have stalled on core demands for Iran to end all uranium enrichment and surrender enriched stockpiles, with Trump administration officials stating Tehran refuses zero-enrichment on its soil despite severe damage to Natanz and Fordow facilities from U.S.-Israeli airstrikes. IAEA reports from late February confirm inability to verify any suspension of enrichment activities, while Netanyahu claimed March 19 that Iran lacks capacity following strikes. Recent pauses in attacks on Iranian energy infrastructure and extended deadlines announced March 26-27 reflect diplomatic maneuvering, but traders' 82% "No" consensus reflects Iran's hardened posture, historical resistance to full nuclear curbs, and absence of public commitments, with April 30 barriers including unresolved sanctions relief and verification disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$132,567終了日
Apr 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations amid the February 2026 war have stalled on core demands for Iran to end all uranium enrichment and surrender enriched stockpiles, with Trump administration officials stating Tehran refuses zero-enrichment on its soil despite severe damage to Natanz and Fordow facilities from U.S.-Israeli airstrikes. IAEA reports from late February confirm inability to verify any suspension of enrichment activities, while Netanyahu claimed March 19 that Iran lacks capacity following strikes. Recent pauses in attacks on Iranian energy infrastructure and extended deadlines announced March 26-27 reflect diplomatic maneuvering, but traders' 82% "No" consensus reflects Iran's hardened posture, historical resistance to full nuclear curbs, and absence of public commitments, with April 30 barriers including unresolved sanctions relief and verification disputes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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