Trader consensus on Strait of Hormuz ship transits for March 23-29 clusters tightly around 20-39 vessels, mirroring recent weekly averages of 25-35 crude oil tankers and product carriers tracked by maritime analysts, with no major disruptions in the past 30 days. Steady volumes persist despite heightened Iran-US tensions and Houthi attacks in the Red Sea, as Persian Gulf exporters like Saudi Arabia and the UAE maintain routine outflows via the chokepoint carrying 20% of global oil trade. US Navy Fifth Fleet patrols and international maritime security have deterred incidents, keeping flows consistent after 28 transits the prior week (March 16-22). The race stays neck-and-neck due to minor variances from weather, scheduling, or loading delays; escalation like an Iranian vessel seizure or airstrikes could slash numbers below 20, while de-escalation signals might push toward 40+.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日15-19 32%
20-24 24%
30-34 24%
45+ 24%
NEW
NEW
Mar 29, 2026
<10
6%
10-14
15%
15-19
21%
20-24
24%
25-29
23%
30-34
24%
35-39
23%
40-44
21%
45+
24%
15-19 32%
20-24 24%
30-34 24%
45+ 24%
NEW
NEW
Mar 29, 2026
<10
$274 Vol.
6%
10-14
$81 Vol.
15%
15-19
$68 Vol.
21%
20-24
$53 Vol.
24%
25-29
$61 Vol.
23%
30-34
$85 Vol.
24%
35-39
$33 Vol.
23%
40-44
$151 Vol.
21%
45+
$612 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 23, 2026, through March 29, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus on Strait of Hormuz ship transits for March 23-29 clusters tightly around 20-39 vessels, mirroring recent weekly averages of 25-35 crude oil tankers and product carriers tracked by maritime analysts, with no major disruptions in the past 30 days. Steady volumes persist despite heightened Iran-US tensions and Houthi attacks in the Red Sea, as Persian Gulf exporters like Saudi Arabia and the UAE maintain routine outflows via the chokepoint carrying 20% of global oil trade. US Navy Fifth Fleet patrols and international maritime security have deterred incidents, keeping flows consistent after 28 transits the prior week (March 16-22). The race stays neck-and-neck due to minor variances from weather, scheduling, or loading delays; escalation like an Iranian vessel seizure or airstrikes could slash numbers below 20, while de-escalation signals might push toward 40+.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 23, 2026, through March 29, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
マーケット開始日： Mar 26, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
音量
$1,389終了日
Mar 29, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 26, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 23, 2026, through March 29, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus on Strait of Hormuz ship transits for March 23-29 clusters tightly around 20-39 vessels, mirroring recent weekly averages of 25-35 crude oil tankers and product carriers tracked by maritime analysts, with no major disruptions in the past 30 days. Steady volumes persist despite heightened Iran-US tensions and Houthi attacks in the Red Sea, as Persian Gulf exporters like Saudi Arabia and the UAE maintain routine outflows via the chokepoint carrying 20% of global oil trade. US Navy Fifth Fleet patrols and international maritime security have deterred incidents, keeping flows consistent after 28 transits the prior week (March 16-22). The race stays neck-and-neck due to minor variances from weather, scheduling, or loading delays; escalation like an Iranian vessel seizure or airstrikes could slash numbers below 20, while de-escalation signals might push toward 40+.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 23, 2026, through March 29, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
音量
$1,389終了日
Mar 29, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 26, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Strait of Hormuz ship transits for March 23-29 clusters tightly around 20-39 vessels, mirroring recent weekly averages of 25-35 crude oil tankers and product carriers tracked by maritime analysts, with no major disruptions in the past 30 days. Steady volumes persist despite heightened Iran-US tensions and Houthi attacks in the Red Sea, as Persian Gulf exporters like Saudi Arabia and the UAE maintain routine outflows via the chokepoint carrying 20% of global oil trade. US Navy Fifth Fleet patrols and international maritime security have deterred incidents, keeping flows consistent after 28 transits the prior week (March 16-22). The race stays neck-and-neck due to minor variances from weather, scheduling, or loading delays; escalation like an Iranian vessel seizure or airstrikes could slash numbers below 20, while de-escalation signals might push toward 40+.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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