JD Vance, Republican vice presidential nominee, maintains a hawkish stance on Iran, advocating maximum pressure sanctions and unwavering support for Israel amid recent escalations including Iran's October 1 missile barrage on Israel and Israel's retaliatory strikes on October 26. No official announcements or schedules indicate Vance engaging Iranian negotiators, as he holds no executive role; any such diplomacy would hinge on a Trump victory in the November 5 election, followed by inauguration in January 2025. Traders weigh Vance's foreign policy rhetoric skeptical of Tehran talks against potential post-election shifts, with upcoming events like election results and Middle East developments key catalysts for market movement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
$16,250 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
3月31日
20%
4月30日
42%
$16,250 Vol.
3月31日
$9,578 Vol.
20%
4月30日
$6,672 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance talks with at least one Iranian negotiator by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Qualifying Iranian negotiators are representatives of Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their government.
A talk is defined as any interaction between JD Vance and an Iranian negotiator, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance talks with at least one Iranian negotiator by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Qualifying Iranian negotiators are representatives of Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their government.
A talk is defined as any interaction between JD Vance and an Iranian negotiator, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance talks with at least one Iranian negotiator by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Qualifying Iranian negotiators are representatives of Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their government.
A talk is defined as any interaction between JD Vance and an Iranian negotiator, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance talks with at least one Iranian negotiator by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Qualifying Iranian negotiators are representatives of Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their government.
A talk is defined as any interaction between JD Vance and an Iranian negotiator, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Qualifying Iranian negotiators are representatives of Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their government.
A talk is defined as any interaction between JD Vance and an Iranian negotiator, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 24, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
音量
$16,250終了日
Apr 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance talks with at least one Iranian negotiator by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Qualifying Iranian negotiators are representatives of Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their government.
A talk is defined as any interaction between JD Vance and an Iranian negotiator, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance talks with at least one Iranian negotiator by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Qualifying Iranian negotiators are representatives of Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their government.
A talk is defined as any interaction between JD Vance and an Iranian negotiator, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$16,250終了日
Apr 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...JD Vance, Republican vice presidential nominee, maintains a hawkish stance on Iran, advocating maximum pressure sanctions and unwavering support for Israel amid recent escalations including Iran's October 1 missile barrage on Israel and Israel's retaliatory strikes on October 26. No official announcements or schedules indicate Vance engaging Iranian negotiators, as he holds no executive role; any such diplomacy would hinge on a Trump victory in the November 5 election, followed by inauguration in January 2025. Traders weigh Vance's foreign policy rhetoric skeptical of Tehran talks against potential post-election shifts, with upcoming events like election results and Middle East developments key catalysts for market movement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問