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政治·中東

トランプ大統領、イランに対する軍事作戦の終了を発表？

Market icon
政治·中東

トランプ大統領、イランに対する軍事作戦の終了を発表？

$7,251,566 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$7,251,566 Vol.

Polymarket

3月31日

$4,578,651 Vol.

3%

4月7日

$154,714 Vol.

15%

4月15日

$541,013 Vol.

30%

4月30日

$1,243,851 Vol.

49%

6月30日

$542,234 Vol.

73%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump extended the deadline for US strikes on Iran's power grid to April 6 amid "very strong talks" to end the four-week conflict, following joint US-Israeli airstrikes launched February 28 that reportedly neutralized much of Iran's navy, air force, and command structure. Trump has signaled operations are winding down ahead of the initial 4-5 week timeline, claiming core objectives like reopening the Strait of Hormuz are near achievement, while Secretary Rubio indicated the campaign would last weeks not months without ground troops. Iran rejected US proposals, demanding cessation of hostilities and guarantees against aggression; no formal end to military operations has been announced, with traders watching diplomatic developments and potential escalation signals before the April deadline.

President Trump extended the deadline for US strikes on Iran's power grid to April 6 amid "very strong talks" to end the four-week conflict, following joint US-Israeli airstrikes launched February 28 that reportedly neutralized much of Iran's navy, air force, and command structure. Trump has signaled operations are winding down ahead of the initial 4-5 week timeline, claiming core objectives like reopening the Strait of Hormuz are near achievement, while Secretary Rubio indicated the campaign would last weeks not months without ground troops. Iran rejected US proposals, demanding cessation of hostilities and guarantees against aggression; no formal end to military operations has been announced, with traders watching diplomatic developments and potential escalation signals before the April deadline.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump extended the deadline for US strikes on Iran's power grid to April 6 amid "very strong talks" to end the four-week conflict, following joint US-Israeli airstrikes launched February 28 that reportedly neutralized much of Iran's navy, air force, and command structure. Trump has signaled operations are winding down ahead of the initial 4-5 week timeline, claiming core objectives like reopening the Strait of Hormuz are near achievement, while Secretary Rubio indicated the campaign would last weeks not months without ground troops. Iran rejected US proposals, demanding cessation of hostilities and guarantees against aggression; no formal end to military operations has been announced, with traders watching diplomatic developments and potential escalation signals before the April deadline.

President Trump extended the deadline for US strikes on Iran's power grid to April 6 amid "very strong talks" to end the four-week conflict, following joint US-Israeli airstrikes launched February 28 that reportedly neutralized much of Iran's navy, air force, and command structure. Trump has signaled operations are winding down ahead of the initial 4-5 week timeline, claiming core objectives like reopening the Strait of Hormuz are near achievement, while Secretary Rubio indicated the campaign would last weeks not months without ground troops. Iran rejected US proposals, demanding cessation of hostilities and guarantees against aggression; no formal end to military operations has been announced, with traders watching diplomatic developments and potential escalation signals before the April deadline.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「トランプ大統領、イランに対する軍事作戦の終了を発表？」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「6月30日」で73%、次いで「4月30日」が49%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、73¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に73%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプ大統領、イランに対する軍事作戦の終了を発表？」は$7.3 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 28, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「トランプ大統領、イランに対する軍事作戦の終了を発表？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トランプ大統領、イランに対する軍事作戦の終了を発表？」の現在のフロントランナーは「6月30日」で73%であり、市場がこの結果に73%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「4月30日」で49%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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