In the escalating Israel-Iran conflict, recent Israeli airstrikes on nuclear-linked sites including Parchin military complex on April 7 and Bushehr nuclear plant around April 4 have heightened risks of further military action, though no verified strikes have targeted Fordow—Iran's fortified underground uranium enrichment facility—since joint US-Israeli attacks in June 2025 caused major damage per subsequent intelligence assessments. Israel signals readiness to hit additional energy infrastructure and refineries pending US approval, while Iran advances repairs, builds concrete shields at key sites, and issues retaliation threats amid fragile Trump-brokered ceasefire talks. IAEA reports no radiation spikes post-strikes; upcoming US coordination or diplomatic shifts could influence escalation trajectories before potential late-April resolution windows.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$277,727 Vol.
2026/04/30
4月30日
5%
$277,727 Vol.
4月30日
$135,874 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.In the escalating Israel-Iran conflict, recent Israeli airstrikes on nuclear-linked sites including Parchin military complex on April 7 and Bushehr nuclear plant around April 4 have heightened risks of further military action, though no verified strikes have targeted Fordow—Iran's fortified underground uranium enrichment facility—since joint US-Israeli attacks in June 2025 caused major damage per subsequent intelligence assessments. Israel signals readiness to hit additional energy infrastructure and refineries pending US approval, while Iran advances repairs, builds concrete shields at key sites, and issues retaliation threats amid fragile Trump-brokered ceasefire talks. IAEA reports no radiation spikes post-strikes; upcoming US coordination or diplomatic shifts could influence escalation trajectories before potential late-April resolution windows.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 24, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
音量
$277,727終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.In the escalating Israel-Iran conflict, recent Israeli airstrikes on nuclear-linked sites including Parchin military complex on April 7 and Bushehr nuclear plant around April 4 have heightened risks of further military action, though no verified strikes have targeted Fordow—Iran's fortified underground uranium enrichment facility—since joint US-Israeli attacks in June 2025 caused major damage per subsequent intelligence assessments. Israel signals readiness to hit additional energy infrastructure and refineries pending US approval, while Iran advances repairs, builds concrete shields at key sites, and issues retaliation threats amid fragile Trump-brokered ceasefire talks. IAEA reports no radiation spikes post-strikes; upcoming US coordination or diplomatic shifts could influence escalation trajectories before potential late-April resolution windows.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$277,727終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...In the escalating Israel-Iran conflict, recent Israeli airstrikes on nuclear-linked sites including Parchin military complex on April 7 and Bushehr nuclear plant around April 4 have heightened risks of further military action, though no verified strikes have targeted Fordow—Iran's fortified underground uranium enrichment facility—since joint US-Israeli attacks in June 2025 caused major damage per subsequent intelligence assessments. Israel signals readiness to hit additional energy infrastructure and refineries pending US approval, while Iran advances repairs, builds concrete shields at key sites, and issues retaliation threats amid fragile Trump-brokered ceasefire talks. IAEA reports no radiation spikes post-strikes; upcoming US coordination or diplomatic shifts could influence escalation trajectories before potential late-April resolution windows.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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