Israel-Iran tensions drive trader focus on potential strikes against Fordow, Iran's fortified underground uranium enrichment facility near Qom, where centrifuges produce near-weapons-grade material per recent IAEA inspections. Israel's October 26 airstrikes targeted Iranian missile production sites but avoided nuclear infrastructure, signaling calibrated deterrence amid the Hezbollah conflict and Gaza operations. Prime Minister Netanyahu has publicly affirmed Israel's resolve to prevent Iranian nuclear breakout, bolstered by degraded proxy capabilities. De-escalation signals from Tehran persist, but upcoming IAEA board resolutions in November could prompt escalation. US election outcomes may influence bilateral diplomacy, sanctions, or military support, heightening uncertainty for preemptive action.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
$10,357 Vol.
Apr 15, 2026
4月15日
16%
April 30
23%
$10,357 Vol.
4月15日
$6,166 Vol.
16%
April 30
$4,197 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 24, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
音量
$10,357終了日
Apr 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$10,357終了日
Apr 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel-Iran tensions drive trader focus on potential strikes against Fordow, Iran's fortified underground uranium enrichment facility near Qom, where centrifuges produce near-weapons-grade material per recent IAEA inspections. Israel's October 26 airstrikes targeted Iranian missile production sites but avoided nuclear infrastructure, signaling calibrated deterrence amid the Hezbollah conflict and Gaza operations. Prime Minister Netanyahu has publicly affirmed Israel's resolve to prevent Iranian nuclear breakout, bolstered by degraded proxy capabilities. De-escalation signals from Tehran persist, but upcoming IAEA board resolutions in November could prompt escalation. US election outcomes may influence bilateral diplomacy, sanctions, or military support, heightening uncertainty for preemptive action.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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