Trader consensus prices "No" at 89% on Itamar Ben-Gvir remaining Israel's national security minister through June 30, driven by the High Court of Justice's April 2026 ruling rejecting petitions for his dismissal over alleged police interference, opting instead for temporary limits and a compromise on law enforcement independence. No subsequent legal or political actions have emerged in the past month to compel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to remove him, as Ben-Gvir's Otzma Yehudit party bolsters the slim governing coalition. Recent coalition moves to dissolve the Knesset amid Haredi disputes signal potential early elections but would leave Ben-Gvir in a caretaker role. Ongoing ministerial activities, like pushing immigration enforcement and mosque regulations, underscore his entrenched position barring unforeseen scandals or rulings.