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icon for トランプ氏、5月31日までにホルムズ海峡を「トランプ海峡」に改称?

トランプ氏、5月31日までにホルムズ海峡を「トランプ海峡」に改称?

icon for トランプ氏、5月31日までにホルムズ海峡を「トランプ海峡」に改称?

トランプ氏、5月31日までにホルムズ海峡を「トランプ海峡」に改称?

はい

1% 確率
Polymarket

$1,341,433 Vol.

はい

1% 確率
Polymarket

$1,341,433 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The overwhelming trader consensus against any renaming of the Strait of Hormuz by May 31 stems from the absence of established executive authority or procedural mechanisms for unilaterally altering the name of a major international waterway. Such geographic designations arise through longstanding cartographic conventions and multilateral diplomatic usage rather than short-term presidential directives. With only days left in the resolution window, no supporting announcements, legislation, or agency actions have emerged to indicate movement toward this outcome. Scenarios that could still affect results include an unanticipated executive order or symbolic statement issued in the final week, though these would confront substantial barriers from international norms and the narrow timeline before the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,341,433
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The overwhelming trader consensus against any renaming of the Strait of Hormuz by May 31 stems from the absence of established executive authority or procedural mechanisms for unilaterally altering the name of a major international waterway. Such geographic designations arise through longstanding cartographic conventions and multilateral diplomatic usage rather than short-term presidential directives. With only days left in the resolution window, no supporting announcements, legislation, or agency actions have emerged to indicate movement toward this outcome. Scenarios that could still affect results include an unanticipated executive order or symbolic statement issued in the final week, though these would confront substantial barriers from international norms and the narrow timeline before the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,341,433
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「トランプ氏、5月31日までにホルムズ海峡を「トランプ海峡」に改称?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「トランプがホルムズ海峡を「トランプ海峡」に5月31日までに改名する?」で1%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、1¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に1%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプ氏、5月31日までにホルムズ海峡を「トランプ海峡」に改称?」は$1.3 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 17, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「トランプ氏、5月31日までにホルムズ海峡を「トランプ海峡」に改称?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「トランプ氏、5月31日までにホルムズ海峡を「トランプ海峡」に改称?」の現在のリーダーは「トランプがホルムズ海峡を「トランプ海峡」に5月31日までに改名する?」でわずか1%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプ氏、5月31日までにホルムズ海峡を「トランプ海峡」に改称?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。