US-brokered direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors resumed in Washington in mid-May 2026 for a third round focused on extending the fragile ceasefire with Hezbollah and advancing broader security arrangements along the border. These meetings, the first such official contacts in decades, follow an initial session on April 14 and a follow-up on April 23 that produced a three-week truce extension, with discussions now addressing Hezbollah disarmament south of the Litani River, Israeli withdrawals, and long-term normalization. Lebanese officials emphasize full sovereignty and an end to cross-border strikes, while Israeli positions prioritize dismantling Hezbollah's military capabilities before any permanent deal. Hezbollah has publicly rejected participation and labeled the process a dead end, creating ongoing uncertainty despite US facilitation and statements from both governments committing to good-faith negotiations. Upcoming sessions and any reported progress on ceasefire compliance will likely shape trader assessments of whether further diplomatic engagement materializes soon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$31,229 Vol.
2026/05/31
May 31
3%
$31,229 Vol.
May 31
$12,427 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-brokered direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors resumed in Washington in mid-May 2026 for a third round focused on extending the fragile ceasefire with Hezbollah and advancing broader security arrangements along the border. These meetings, the first such official contacts in decades, follow an initial session on April 14 and a follow-up on April 23 that produced a three-week truce extension, with discussions now addressing Hezbollah disarmament south of the Litani River, Israeli withdrawals, and long-term normalization. Lebanese officials emphasize full sovereignty and an end to cross-border strikes, while Israeli positions prioritize dismantling Hezbollah's military capabilities before any permanent deal. Hezbollah has publicly rejected participation and labeled the process a dead end, creating ongoing uncertainty despite US facilitation and statements from both governments committing to good-faith negotiations. Upcoming sessions and any reported progress on ceasefire compliance will likely shape trader assessments of whether further diplomatic engagement materializes soon.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
音量
$31,229終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-brokered direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors resumed in Washington in mid-May 2026 for a third round focused on extending the fragile ceasefire with Hezbollah and advancing broader security arrangements along the border. These meetings, the first such official contacts in decades, follow an initial session on April 14 and a follow-up on April 23 that produced a three-week truce extension, with discussions now addressing Hezbollah disarmament south of the Litani River, Israeli withdrawals, and long-term normalization. Lebanese officials emphasize full sovereignty and an end to cross-border strikes, while Israeli positions prioritize dismantling Hezbollah's military capabilities before any permanent deal. Hezbollah has publicly rejected participation and labeled the process a dead end, creating ongoing uncertainty despite US facilitation and statements from both governments committing to good-faith negotiations. Upcoming sessions and any reported progress on ceasefire compliance will likely shape trader assessments of whether further diplomatic engagement materializes soon.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$31,229終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-brokered direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors resumed in Washington in mid-May 2026 for a third round focused on extending the fragile ceasefire with Hezbollah and advancing broader security arrangements along the border. These meetings, the first such official contacts in decades, follow an initial session on April 14 and a follow-up on April 23 that produced a three-week truce extension, with discussions now addressing Hezbollah disarmament south of the Litani River, Israeli withdrawals, and long-term normalization. Lebanese officials emphasize full sovereignty and an end to cross-border strikes, while Israeli positions prioritize dismantling Hezbollah's military capabilities before any permanent deal. Hezbollah has publicly rejected participation and labeled the process a dead end, creating ongoing uncertainty despite US facilitation and statements from both governments committing to good-faith negotiations. Upcoming sessions and any reported progress on ceasefire compliance will likely shape trader assessments of whether further diplomatic engagement materializes soon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問