Congressional passage of a bipartisan 10-day extension of FISA Section 702 on April 17—cleared by voice vote in the Senate following a late-night House approval—has driven near-unanimous trader consensus at 98.6% for reauthorization before the April 19 expiration, averting an immediate lapse in warrantless foreign surveillance powers vital to national security agencies like the NSA and FBI. Despite libertarian Republican holdouts demanding warrant requirements for U.S. person queries and prior collapse of longer-term deals pushed by President Trump, procedural urgency prevailed amid reform negotiations set to continue until April 30. Realistic upset scenarios remain slim but include a presidential veto or unforeseen parliamentary challenges blocking enactment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$101,755 Vol.
$101,755 Vol.
2026/04/19
はい
$101,755 Vol.
$101,755 Vol.
2026/04/19
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congressional passage of a bipartisan 10-day extension of FISA Section 702 on April 17—cleared by voice vote in the Senate following a late-night House approval—has driven near-unanimous trader consensus at 98.6% for reauthorization before the April 19 expiration, averting an immediate lapse in warrantless foreign surveillance powers vital to national security agencies like the NSA and FBI. Despite libertarian Republican holdouts demanding warrant requirements for U.S. person queries and prior collapse of longer-term deals pushed by President Trump, procedural urgency prevailed amid reform negotiations set to continue until April 30. Realistic upset scenarios remain slim but include a presidential veto or unforeseen parliamentary challenges blocking enactment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 27, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
音量
$101,755終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congressional passage of a bipartisan 10-day extension of FISA Section 702 on April 17—cleared by voice vote in the Senate following a late-night House approval—has driven near-unanimous trader consensus at 98.6% for reauthorization before the April 19 expiration, averting an immediate lapse in warrantless foreign surveillance powers vital to national security agencies like the NSA and FBI. Despite libertarian Republican holdouts demanding warrant requirements for U.S. person queries and prior collapse of longer-term deals pushed by President Trump, procedural urgency prevailed amid reform negotiations set to continue until April 30. Realistic upset scenarios remain slim but include a presidential veto or unforeseen parliamentary challenges blocking enactment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$101,755終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
Congressional passage of a bipartisan 10-day extension of FISA Section 702 on April 17—cleared by voice vote in the Senate following a late-night House approval—has driven near-unanimous trader consensus at 98.6% for reauthorization before the April 19 expiration, averting an immediate lapse in warrantless foreign surveillance powers vital to national security agencies like the NSA and FBI. Despite libertarian Republican holdouts demanding warrant requirements for U.S. person queries and prior collapse of longer-term deals pushed by President Trump, procedural urgency prevailed amid reform negotiations set to continue until April 30. Realistic upset scenarios remain slim but include a presidential veto or unforeseen parliamentary challenges blocking enactment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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