President Trump's U.S.-led Board of Peace, established via UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction and deploy a peacekeeping force, has secured 22-25 members since its January 2026 Davos charter ratification and February 19 Washington inaugural summit, including Israel, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Turkey, Egypt, Jordan, and select Asian and Balkan states. Trader sentiment prices low odds for additional joins by March 31—such as Brazil at 3%, India at 3%, and European holdouts like Germany, France, and UK under 1%—due to persistent declinations over the $1 billion membership fee, Trump's indefinite chairmanship, and rivalry with UN mechanisms. Indonesia's March pause amid domestic pressure and Iran tensions signals reluctance among non-aligned powers, with no fresh diplomatic breakthroughs in the past week to shift consensus ahead of the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$3,335,172 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
ブラジル
4%
インド
3%
イタリア
2%
英国
1%
ベルギー
1%
スウェーデン
1%
フランス
1%
スペイン
1%
フィンランド
1%
ロシア
1%
スイス
1%
デンマーク
1%
オランダ
<1%
ドイツ
<1%
パレスチナ
<1%
ノルウェー
<1%
中国
<1%
ウクライナ
<1%
$3,335,172 Vol.
ブラジル
$29,242 Vol.
4%
インド
$46,296 Vol.
3%
イタリア
$194,764 Vol.
2%
英国
$125,961 Vol.
1%
ベルギー
$37,589 Vol.
1%
スウェーデン
$225,360 Vol.
1%
フランス
$62,725 Vol.
1%
スペイン
$100,188 Vol.
1%
フィンランド
$577,941 Vol.
1%
ロシア
$274,247 Vol.
1%
スイス
$50,066 Vol.
1%
デンマーク
$343,307 Vol.
1%
オランダ
$280,491 Vol.
<1%
ドイツ
$129,824 Vol.
<1%
パレスチナ
$43,679 Vol.
<1%
ノルウェー
$511,253 Vol.
<1%
中国
$119,351 Vol.
<1%
ウクライナ
$80,102 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's U.S.-led Board of Peace, established via UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction and deploy a peacekeeping force, has secured 22-25 members since its January 2026 Davos charter ratification and February 19 Washington inaugural summit, including Israel, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Turkey, Egypt, Jordan, and select Asian and Balkan states. Trader sentiment prices low odds for additional joins by March 31—such as Brazil at 3%, India at 3%, and European holdouts like Germany, France, and UK under 1%—due to persistent declinations over the $1 billion membership fee, Trump's indefinite chairmanship, and rivalry with UN mechanisms. Indonesia's March pause amid domestic pressure and Iran tensions signals reluctance among non-aligned powers, with no fresh diplomatic breakthroughs in the past week to shift consensus ahead of the deadline.
Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 20, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
音量
$3,335,172終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 20, 2026, 10:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's U.S.-led Board of Peace, established via UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction and deploy a peacekeeping force, has secured 22-25 members since its January 2026 Davos charter ratification and February 19 Washington inaugural summit, including Israel, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Turkey, Egypt, Jordan, and select Asian and Balkan states. Trader sentiment prices low odds for additional joins by March 31—such as Brazil at 3%, India at 3%, and European holdouts like Germany, France, and UK under 1%—due to persistent declinations over the $1 billion membership fee, Trump's indefinite chairmanship, and rivalry with UN mechanisms. Indonesia's March pause amid domestic pressure and Iran tensions signals reluctance among non-aligned powers, with no fresh diplomatic breakthroughs in the past week to shift consensus ahead of the deadline.
Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$3,335,172終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 20, 2026, 10:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's U.S.-led Board of Peace, established via UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction and deploy a peacekeeping force, has secured 22-25 members since its January 2026 Davos charter ratification and February 19 Washington inaugural summit, including Israel, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Turkey, Egypt, Jordan, and select Asian and Balkan states. Trader sentiment prices low odds for additional joins by March 31—such as Brazil at 3%, India at 3%, and European holdouts like Germany, France, and UK under 1%—due to persistent declinations over the $1 billion membership fee, Trump's indefinite chairmanship, and rivalry with UN mechanisms. Indonesia's March pause amid domestic pressure and Iran tensions signals reluctance among non-aligned powers, with no fresh diplomatic breakthroughs in the past week to shift consensus ahead of the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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