Trader consensus prices "No" at 97.5¢ on a new Trump executive order restricting voting by March 31, driven by the absence of any White House announcements or draft signals in the final days before the deadline, despite earlier 2026 speculation around election integrity ahead of midterms. Constitutional barriers remain central, as courts have repeatedly blocked prior 2025 executive actions on voter ID, mail-in ballots, and proof of citizenship, affirming states' primary authority over elections under the Constitution with Congress setting federal rules. Trump's February denial of related drafts and push for the SAVE Act via legislative vote further sap momentum for unilateral action. Only an abrupt signing—potentially invoking national security—could shift odds, though legal challenges would follow swiftly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
はい
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump issues an executive order, proclamation, memorandum, emergency declaration or other formal executive action which seeks to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any formal executive action which seeks to achieve one of the listed goals will count, regardless of any legal or implementation challenges it may face after issuance. Mere statements from Donald Trump will not alone qualify; a formal executive action to enact policy must be taken. Executive actions which seek to accomplish a listed goal indirectly (e.g. withholding federal funding from states that do not implement a listed policy) will count, provided a formal executive action to enact policy is taken.
An executive action will be considered to seek to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections if it seeks to do so either nationally or in any limited context (such as in specific states, areas, or election contexts) for use in United States federal elections.
Qualifying examples of potential executive actions include:
- Executive actions seeking to mandate voter ID nationally, in specific areas of the United States, or only in certain contexts.
- Executive actions seeking to ban mail-in voting broadly or in a limited context, including no-excuse mail-in voting, mandatory mail-in voting, or mail-in voting in certain states or areas.
- Executive actions seeking to ban all voting machines or restricting the use of certain classes of voting machines or of voting machines in specific areas.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official text of the executive action taken; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 97.5¢ on a new Trump executive order restricting voting by March 31, driven by the absence of any White House announcements or draft signals in the final days before the deadline, despite earlier 2026 speculation around election integrity ahead of midterms. Constitutional barriers remain central, as courts have repeatedly blocked prior 2025 executive actions on voter ID, mail-in ballots, and proof of citizenship, affirming states' primary authority over elections under the Constitution with Congress setting federal rules. Trump's February denial of related drafts and push for the SAVE Act via legislative vote further sap momentum for unilateral action. Only an abrupt signing—potentially invoking national security—could shift odds, though legal challenges would follow swiftly.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump issues an executive order, proclamation, memorandum, emergency declaration or other formal executive action which seeks to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any formal executive action which seeks to achieve one of the listed goals will count, regardless of any legal or implementation challenges it may face after issuance. Mere statements from Donald Trump will not alone qualify; a formal executive action to enact policy must be taken. Executive actions which seek to accomplish a listed goal indirectly (e.g. withholding federal funding from states that do not implement a listed policy) will count, provided a formal executive action to enact policy is taken.
An executive action will be considered to seek to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections if it seeks to do so either nationally or in any limited context (such as in specific states, areas, or election contexts) for use in United States federal elections.
Qualifying examples of potential executive actions include:
- Executive actions seeking to mandate voter ID nationally, in specific areas of the United States, or only in certain contexts.
- Executive actions seeking to ban mail-in voting broadly or in a limited context, including no-excuse mail-in voting, mandatory mail-in voting, or mail-in voting in certain states or areas.
- Executive actions seeking to ban all voting machines or restricting the use of certain classes of voting machines or of voting machines in specific areas.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official text of the executive action taken; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any formal executive action which seeks to achieve one of the listed goals will count, regardless of any legal or implementation challenges it may face after issuance. Mere statements from Donald Trump will not alone qualify; a formal executive action to enact policy must be taken. Executive actions which seek to accomplish a listed goal indirectly (e.g. withholding federal funding from states that do not implement a listed policy) will count, provided a formal executive action to enact policy is taken.
An executive action will be considered to seek to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections if it seeks to do so either nationally or in any limited context (such as in specific states, areas, or election contexts) for use in United States federal elections.
Qualifying examples of potential executive actions include:
- Executive actions seeking to mandate voter ID nationally, in specific areas of the United States, or only in certain contexts.
- Executive actions seeking to ban mail-in voting broadly or in a limited context, including no-excuse mail-in voting, mandatory mail-in voting, or mail-in voting in certain states or areas.
- Executive actions seeking to ban all voting machines or restricting the use of certain classes of voting machines or of voting machines in specific areas.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official text of the executive action taken; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Feb 26, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
音量
$704終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 26, 2026, 4:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump issues an executive order, proclamation, memorandum, emergency declaration or other formal executive action which seeks to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any formal executive action which seeks to achieve one of the listed goals will count, regardless of any legal or implementation challenges it may face after issuance. Mere statements from Donald Trump will not alone qualify; a formal executive action to enact policy must be taken. Executive actions which seek to accomplish a listed goal indirectly (e.g. withholding federal funding from states that do not implement a listed policy) will count, provided a formal executive action to enact policy is taken.
An executive action will be considered to seek to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections if it seeks to do so either nationally or in any limited context (such as in specific states, areas, or election contexts) for use in United States federal elections.
Qualifying examples of potential executive actions include:
- Executive actions seeking to mandate voter ID nationally, in specific areas of the United States, or only in certain contexts.
- Executive actions seeking to ban mail-in voting broadly or in a limited context, including no-excuse mail-in voting, mandatory mail-in voting, or mail-in voting in certain states or areas.
- Executive actions seeking to ban all voting machines or restricting the use of certain classes of voting machines or of voting machines in specific areas.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official text of the executive action taken; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 97.5¢ on a new Trump executive order restricting voting by March 31, driven by the absence of any White House announcements or draft signals in the final days before the deadline, despite earlier 2026 speculation around election integrity ahead of midterms. Constitutional barriers remain central, as courts have repeatedly blocked prior 2025 executive actions on voter ID, mail-in ballots, and proof of citizenship, affirming states' primary authority over elections under the Constitution with Congress setting federal rules. Trump's February denial of related drafts and push for the SAVE Act via legislative vote further sap momentum for unilateral action. Only an abrupt signing—potentially invoking national security—could shift odds, though legal challenges would follow swiftly.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump issues an executive order, proclamation, memorandum, emergency declaration or other formal executive action which seeks to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any formal executive action which seeks to achieve one of the listed goals will count, regardless of any legal or implementation challenges it may face after issuance. Mere statements from Donald Trump will not alone qualify; a formal executive action to enact policy must be taken. Executive actions which seek to accomplish a listed goal indirectly (e.g. withholding federal funding from states that do not implement a listed policy) will count, provided a formal executive action to enact policy is taken.
An executive action will be considered to seek to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections if it seeks to do so either nationally or in any limited context (such as in specific states, areas, or election contexts) for use in United States federal elections.
Qualifying examples of potential executive actions include:
- Executive actions seeking to mandate voter ID nationally, in specific areas of the United States, or only in certain contexts.
- Executive actions seeking to ban mail-in voting broadly or in a limited context, including no-excuse mail-in voting, mandatory mail-in voting, or mail-in voting in certain states or areas.
- Executive actions seeking to ban all voting machines or restricting the use of certain classes of voting machines or of voting machines in specific areas.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official text of the executive action taken; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any formal executive action which seeks to achieve one of the listed goals will count, regardless of any legal or implementation challenges it may face after issuance. Mere statements from Donald Trump will not alone qualify; a formal executive action to enact policy must be taken. Executive actions which seek to accomplish a listed goal indirectly (e.g. withholding federal funding from states that do not implement a listed policy) will count, provided a formal executive action to enact policy is taken.
An executive action will be considered to seek to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections if it seeks to do so either nationally or in any limited context (such as in specific states, areas, or election contexts) for use in United States federal elections.
Qualifying examples of potential executive actions include:
- Executive actions seeking to mandate voter ID nationally, in specific areas of the United States, or only in certain contexts.
- Executive actions seeking to ban mail-in voting broadly or in a limited context, including no-excuse mail-in voting, mandatory mail-in voting, or mail-in voting in certain states or areas.
- Executive actions seeking to ban all voting machines or restricting the use of certain classes of voting machines or of voting machines in specific areas.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official text of the executive action taken; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$704終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 26, 2026, 4:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 97.5¢ on a new Trump executive order restricting voting by March 31, driven by the absence of any White House announcements or draft signals in the final days before the deadline, despite earlier 2026 speculation around election integrity ahead of midterms. Constitutional barriers remain central, as courts have repeatedly blocked prior 2025 executive actions on voter ID, mail-in ballots, and proof of citizenship, affirming states' primary authority over elections under the Constitution with Congress setting federal rules. Trump's February denial of related drafts and push for the SAVE Act via legislative vote further sap momentum for unilateral action. Only an abrupt signing—potentially invoking national security—could shift odds, though legal challenges would follow swiftly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問