Market icon

トランプ氏と習主席は会ってどのくらいの時間握手をするのだろうか。

Market icon

トランプ氏と習主席は会ってどのくらいの時間握手をするのだろうか。

6~10秒 37%

15秒以上 22%

10~15秒 16%

2〜6秒 12%

Polymarket

$16,759 Vol.

6~10秒 37%

15秒以上 22%

10~15秒 16%

2〜6秒 12%

Polymarket

$16,759 Vol.

握手なし

$5,815 Vol.

5%

2秒未満

$2,023 Vol.

4%

2〜6秒

$2,413 Vol.

12%

6~10秒

$1,419 Vol.

37%

10~15秒

$880 Vol.

16%

15秒以上

$2,783 Vol.

22%

写真のみ

$1,426 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.

If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.

If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".

Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.

If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.

Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.

The resolution source will be video footage.
音量
$16,759
終了日
Dec 31, 2026
マーケット開始日
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify. If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”. If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only". Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact. If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration. The resolution source will be video footage.

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"トランプ氏と習主席は会ってどのくらいの時間握手をするのだろうか。" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "6~10秒" at 37%, followed by "15秒以上" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "トランプ氏と習主席は会ってどのくらいの時間握手をするのだろうか。" has generated $16.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "トランプ氏と習主席は会ってどのくらいの時間握手をするのだろうか。," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "トランプ氏と習主席は会ってどのくらいの時間握手をするのだろうか。" is "6~10秒" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "15秒以上" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "トランプ氏と習主席は会ってどのくらいの時間握手をするのだろうか。" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.