Trader consensus on Polymarket leans toward a prolonged 15+ second handshake between President-elect Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping at 40%, driven by historical precedents like their 25-second grip at the 2017 Mar-a-Lago summit amid early trade negotiations, which set a tone for personal rapport. Recent post-election developments, including Xi's congratulatory message and Trump's public signals of an imminent bilateral meeting to address tariffs, Taiwan tensions, and economic issues, have boosted expectations for a symbolic display of diplomacy rather than brevity or avoidance. With no confirmed summit date but inauguration on January 20 approaching, traders price low odds on no handshake (6%) or minimal contact, anticipating optics-focused engagement in potential early-year talks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日15秒以上 40%
6～10秒 20%
10～15秒 20%
2〜6秒 11%
$39,642 Vol.
$39,642 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
握手なし
6%
2秒未満
3%
2〜6秒
11%
6～10秒
20%
10～15秒
20%
15秒以上
40%
写真のみ
2%
15秒以上 40%
6～10秒 20%
10～15秒 20%
2〜6秒 11%
$39,642 Vol.
$39,642 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
握手なし
$8,990 Vol.
6%
2秒未満
$4,750 Vol.
3%
2〜6秒
$8,638 Vol.
11%
6～10秒
$3,198 Vol.
20%
10～15秒
$0 Vol.
20%
15秒以上
$5,264 Vol.
40%
写真のみ
$8,802 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus on Polymarket leans toward a prolonged 15+ second handshake between President-elect Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping at 40%, driven by historical precedents like their 25-second grip at the 2017 Mar-a-Lago summit amid early trade negotiations, which set a tone for personal rapport. Recent post-election developments, including Xi's congratulatory message and Trump's public signals of an imminent bilateral meeting to address tariffs, Taiwan tensions, and economic issues, have boosted expectations for a symbolic display of diplomacy rather than brevity or avoidance. With no confirmed summit date but inauguration on January 20 approaching, traders price low odds on no handshake (6%) or minimal contact, anticipating optics-focused engagement in potential early-year talks.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
マーケット開始日： Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
音量
$39,642終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus on Polymarket leans toward a prolonged 15+ second handshake between President-elect Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping at 40%, driven by historical precedents like their 25-second grip at the 2017 Mar-a-Lago summit amid early trade negotiations, which set a tone for personal rapport. Recent post-election developments, including Xi's congratulatory message and Trump's public signals of an imminent bilateral meeting to address tariffs, Taiwan tensions, and economic issues, have boosted expectations for a symbolic display of diplomacy rather than brevity or avoidance. With no confirmed summit date but inauguration on January 20 approaching, traders price low odds on no handshake (6%) or minimal contact, anticipating optics-focused engagement in potential early-year talks.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
音量
$39,642終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket leans toward a prolonged 15+ second handshake between President-elect Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping at 40%, driven by historical precedents like their 25-second grip at the 2017 Mar-a-Lago summit amid early trade negotiations, which set a tone for personal rapport. Recent post-election developments, including Xi's congratulatory message and Trump's public signals of an imminent bilateral meeting to address tariffs, Taiwan tensions, and economic issues, have boosted expectations for a symbolic display of diplomacy rather than brevity or avoidance. With no confirmed summit date but inauguration on January 20 approaching, traders price low odds on no handshake (6%) or minimal contact, anticipating optics-focused engagement in potential early-year talks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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