High-ranking Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia's continued public prominence and Xi Jinping's reliance on him as a trusted ally amid ongoing People's Liberation Army anti-corruption drives form the core rationale for traders' 82.5% implied probability on "No" for a pre-2027 prison sentence. No official investigations, charges, or disappearances have been reported from state media or primary sources, contrasting with recent high-profile detentions of lower Rocket Force and navy officials like Li Yuchao and Miao Hua. Zhang's recent appearances, including military oversight meetings and diplomatic engagements into late 2024, signal stability, while unsubstantiated overseas rumors lack evidence to shift consensus. Traders view systemic purges as sparing top loyalists, with no catalysts suggesting imminent risk before 2027.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$86,756 Vol.
$86,756 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
はい
$86,756 Vol.
$86,756 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
音量
$86,756終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$86,756終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...High-ranking Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia's continued public prominence and Xi Jinping's reliance on him as a trusted ally amid ongoing People's Liberation Army anti-corruption drives form the core rationale for traders' 82.5% implied probability on "No" for a pre-2027 prison sentence. No official investigations, charges, or disappearances have been reported from state media or primary sources, contrasting with recent high-profile detentions of lower Rocket Force and navy officials like Li Yuchao and Miao Hua. Zhang's recent appearances, including military oversight meetings and diplomatic engagements into late 2024, signal stability, while unsubstantiated overseas rumors lack evidence to shift consensus. Traders view systemic purges as sparing top loyalists, with no catalysts suggesting imminent risk before 2027.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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