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icon for 習近平は2027年までに米国を訪問するか？
地政学·中国

習近平は2027年までに米国を訪問するか？

icon for 習近平は2027年までに米国を訪問するか？
地政学·中国

習近平は2027年までに米国を訪問するか？

はい

89% 確率
Polymarket

$263,574 Vol.

はい

89% 確率
Polymarket

$263,574 Vol.

If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent high-level diplomacy has anchored trader consensus around an 88.5% implied probability for a Xi Jinping visit to the United States before 2027. In mid-May 2026, President Donald Trump traveled to Beijing for a summit with Xi, the first U.S. presidential visit to China in nearly a decade. Chinese officials and the White House subsequently confirmed plans for Xi to make a reciprocal state visit to Washington in fall 2026, with Trump issuing a formal invitation during the talks. Both sides described 2026 as a reset year featuring coordinated participation in APEC and G20 summits, alongside new trade agreements on aircraft and agricultural products. These verified commitments and reciprocal scheduling provide the primary political driver behind current market pricing.

If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$263,574
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Feb 13, 2026, 4:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent high-level diplomacy has anchored trader consensus around an 88.5% implied probability for a Xi Jinping visit to the United States before 2027. In mid-May 2026, President Donald Trump traveled to Beijing for a summit with Xi, the first U.S. presidential visit to China in nearly a decade. Chinese officials and the White House subsequently confirmed plans for Xi to make a reciprocal state visit to Washington in fall 2026, with Trump issuing a formal invitation during the talks. Both sides described 2026 as a reset year featuring coordinated participation in APEC and G20 summits, alongside new trade agreements on aircraft and agricultural products. These verified commitments and reciprocal scheduling provide the primary political driver behind current market pricing.

If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$263,574
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Feb 13, 2026, 4:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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よくある質問

「習近平は2027年までに米国を訪問するか？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「習近平は2027年までにアメリカを訪問しますか？」で89%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、89¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に89%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「習近平は2027年までに米国を訪問するか？」は$263.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 13, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「習近平は2027年までに米国を訪問するか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「習近平は2027年までに米国を訪問するか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「習近平は2027年までにアメリカを訪問しますか？」で89%であり、市場がこの結果に89%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「習近平は2027年までに米国を訪問するか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。