Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven extensive purges within the People's Liberation Army (PLA) in 2026, targeting senior leaders to enforce political loyalty ahead of the 2027 21st Party Congress. Key developments include the January removal of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Chief of Staff Liu Zhenli—combat veterans and the last high-ranking officers with real-war experience—followed by February expulsions of nine military lawmakers and three retired generals from advisory bodies, plus probes into Rocket Force commanders. March's Two Sessions highlighted empty seats among delegates, with Xi publicly stressing discipline amid reports of over 100 senior officers ousted since 2022. Traders weigh opaque signals like disciplinary investigations and NPC revocations, anticipating further CMC or Politburo shifts, though no Standing Committee changes have occurred yet.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$95,127 Vol.
2026/12/31
董軍
19%
張昇民
11%
丁薛祥
8%
趙楽際
7%
蔡奇
7%
李希
4%
王毅
4%
李強
4%
王滬寧
3%
$95,127 Vol.
董軍
$9,214 Vol.
19%
張昇民
$12,492 Vol.
11%
丁薛祥
$11,146 Vol.
8%
趙楽際
$6,224 Vol.
7%
蔡奇
$24,320 Vol.
7%
李希
$14,926 Vol.
4%
王毅
$8,016 Vol.
4%
李強
$3,976 Vol.
4%
王滬寧
$4,813 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven extensive purges within the People's Liberation Army (PLA) in 2026, targeting senior leaders to enforce political loyalty ahead of the 2027 21st Party Congress. Key developments include the January removal of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Chief of Staff Liu Zhenli—combat veterans and the last high-ranking officers with real-war experience—followed by February expulsions of nine military lawmakers and three retired generals from advisory bodies, plus probes into Rocket Force commanders. March's Two Sessions highlighted empty seats among delegates, with Xi publicly stressing discipline amid reports of over 100 senior officers ousted since 2022. Traders weigh opaque signals like disciplinary investigations and NPC revocations, anticipating further CMC or Politburo shifts, though no Standing Committee changes have occurred yet.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
音量
$95,127終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven extensive purges within the People's Liberation Army (PLA) in 2026, targeting senior leaders to enforce political loyalty ahead of the 2027 21st Party Congress. Key developments include the January removal of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Chief of Staff Liu Zhenli—combat veterans and the last high-ranking officers with real-war experience—followed by February expulsions of nine military lawmakers and three retired generals from advisory bodies, plus probes into Rocket Force commanders. March's Two Sessions highlighted empty seats among delegates, with Xi publicly stressing discipline amid reports of over 100 senior officers ousted since 2022. Traders weigh opaque signals like disciplinary investigations and NPC revocations, anticipating further CMC or Politburo shifts, though no Standing Committee changes have occurred yet.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$95,127終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven extensive purges within the People's Liberation Army (PLA) in 2026, targeting senior leaders to enforce political loyalty ahead of the 2027 21st Party Congress. Key developments include the January removal of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Chief of Staff Liu Zhenli—combat veterans and the last high-ranking officers with real-war experience—followed by February expulsions of nine military lawmakers and three retired generals from advisory bodies, plus probes into Rocket Force commanders. March's Two Sessions highlighted empty seats among delegates, with Xi publicly stressing discipline amid reports of over 100 senior officers ousted since 2022. Traders weigh opaque signals like disciplinary investigations and NPC revocations, anticipating further CMC or Politburo shifts, though no Standing Committee changes have occurred yet.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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