Trader consensus implies a 67.5% probability that Xi Jinping will not meet Cheng Li-wun by June 30, reflecting entrenched cross-strait tensions without signs of diplomatic thaw. Following Lai Ching-te's May 20 inauguration as Taiwan's president, China launched "Joint Sword-2024A" military drills encircling the island on May 23-24, the largest since 2022, in response to perceived pro-independence rhetoric. Beijing has issued no invitations or public overtures for such a summit, aligning with Xi's longstanding avoidance of direct talks with Democratic Progressive Party leaders—unlike his 2015 meeting with KMT President Ma Ying-jeou. Absent unexpected de-escalation signals, traders anticipate continued freeze in high-level diplomacy before the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$322,383 Vol.
$322,383 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
はい
$322,383 Vol.
$322,383 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with Cheng Li-wun by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi Jinping and Cheng Li-wun are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with Cheng Li-wun by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi Jinping and Cheng Li-wun are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with Cheng Li-wun by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi Jinping and Cheng Li-wun are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi Jinping and Cheng Li-wun are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Dec 27, 2025, 3:16 PM ET
音量
$322,383終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 27, 2025, 3:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with Cheng Li-wun by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi Jinping and Cheng Li-wun are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with Cheng Li-wun by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi Jinping and Cheng Li-wun are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with Cheng Li-wun by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi Jinping and Cheng Li-wun are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi Jinping and Cheng Li-wun are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$322,383終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 27, 2025, 3:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus implies a 67.5% probability that Xi Jinping will not meet Cheng Li-wun by June 30, reflecting entrenched cross-strait tensions without signs of diplomatic thaw. Following Lai Ching-te's May 20 inauguration as Taiwan's president, China launched "Joint Sword-2024A" military drills encircling the island on May 23-24, the largest since 2022, in response to perceived pro-independence rhetoric. Beijing has issued no invitations or public overtures for such a summit, aligning with Xi's longstanding avoidance of direct talks with Democratic Progressive Party leaders—unlike his 2015 meeting with KMT President Ma Ying-jeou. Absent unexpected de-escalation signals, traders anticipate continued freeze in high-level diplomacy before the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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