Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a fragmented field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, with Volodymyr Zelenskyy holding a slim lead at 9.6% implied probability after his late-March formal nomination by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø, spotlighting his defense of democracy amid Russia's invasion. Yulia Navalnaya trails closely at 8.5%, buoyed by her enduring symbolism as Alexei Navalny's successor in the Russian opposition narrative, while Donald Trump sits at 7.5% on momentum from U.S. congressional nominations and claims of diplomatic breakthroughs like India-Pakistan de-escalation. No outcome exceeds 10%, underscoring the Nobel Committee's history of upsets favoring underdogs or organizations; key differentiators include Zelenskyy's wartime leadership, Navalnaya's human rights advocacy, and Trump's deal-making rhetoric, with buzz intensifying ahead of the October 2026 announcement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ウォロディミル・ゼレンスキー 9.6%
ユーリヤ・ナワリナヤ 9%
ドナルド・トランプ 8%
教皇レオ14世 4.5%
$14,043,022 Vol.
$14,043,022 Vol.
2026/10/10
ウォロディミル・ゼレンスキー
10%
ユーリヤ・ナワリナヤ
9%
ドナルド・トランプ
8%
教皇レオ14世
5%
タミム・ビン・ハマド・アル＝サーニー
3%
国際司法裁判所
3%
UNRWA
3%
グレタ・トゥーンベリ
3%
習近平
2%
ナレンドラ・モディ
2%
レジェップ・タイイップ・エルドアン
1%
アフメド・アル＝シャラー
1%
ムハンマド・ビン・サルマン
1%
チャーリー・カーク
1%
イーロン・マスク
1%
カーレド・マシャール
1%
ジュリアン・アサンジ
1%
アントニオ・グテーレス
1%
ウラジーミル・プーチン
1%
ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ
1%
ウォロディミル・ゼレンスキー 9.6%
ユーリヤ・ナワリナヤ 9%
ドナルド・トランプ 8%
教皇レオ14世 4.5%
$14,043,022 Vol.
$14,043,022 Vol.
2026/10/10
ウォロディミル・ゼレンスキー
$421,306 Vol.
10%
ユーリヤ・ナワリナヤ
$125,167 Vol.
9%
ドナルド・トランプ
$2,540,741 Vol.
8%
教皇レオ14世
$629,073 Vol.
5%
タミム・ビン・ハマド・アル＝サーニー
$520,146 Vol.
3%
国際司法裁判所
$685,126 Vol.
3%
UNRWA
$1,826,881 Vol.
3%
グレタ・トゥーンベリ
$1,068,688 Vol.
3%
習近平
$904,603 Vol.
2%
ナレンドラ・モディ
$411,294 Vol.
2%
レジェップ・タイイップ・エルドアン
$503,702 Vol.
1%
アフメド・アル＝シャラー
$679,124 Vol.
1%
ムハンマド・ビン・サルマン
$646,763 Vol.
1%
チャーリー・カーク
$713,959 Vol.
1%
イーロン・マスク
$557,763 Vol.
1%
カーレド・マシャール
$289,049 Vol.
1%
ジュリアン・アサンジ
$362,836 Vol.
1%
アントニオ・グテーレス
$252,308 Vol.
1%
ウラジーミル・プーチン
$543,136 Vol.
1%
ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ
$361,989 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a fragmented field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, with Volodymyr Zelenskyy holding a slim lead at 9.6% implied probability after his late-March formal nomination by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø, spotlighting his defense of democracy amid Russia's invasion. Yulia Navalnaya trails closely at 8.5%, buoyed by her enduring symbolism as Alexei Navalny's successor in the Russian opposition narrative, while Donald Trump sits at 7.5% on momentum from U.S. congressional nominations and claims of diplomatic breakthroughs like India-Pakistan de-escalation. No outcome exceeds 10%, underscoring the Nobel Committee's history of upsets favoring underdogs or organizations; key differentiators include Zelenskyy's wartime leadership, Navalnaya's human rights advocacy, and Trump's deal-making rhetoric, with buzz intensifying ahead of the October 2026 announcement.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
マーケット開始日： Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET
音量
$14,043,022終了日
2026/10/10マーケット開始日
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a fragmented field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, with Volodymyr Zelenskyy holding a slim lead at 9.6% implied probability after his late-March formal nomination by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø, spotlighting his defense of democracy amid Russia's invasion. Yulia Navalnaya trails closely at 8.5%, buoyed by her enduring symbolism as Alexei Navalny's successor in the Russian opposition narrative, while Donald Trump sits at 7.5% on momentum from U.S. congressional nominations and claims of diplomatic breakthroughs like India-Pakistan de-escalation. No outcome exceeds 10%, underscoring the Nobel Committee's history of upsets favoring underdogs or organizations; key differentiators include Zelenskyy's wartime leadership, Navalnaya's human rights advocacy, and Trump's deal-making rhetoric, with buzz intensifying ahead of the October 2026 announcement.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
音量
$14,043,022終了日
2026/10/10マーケット開始日
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a fragmented field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, with Volodymyr Zelenskyy holding a slim lead at 9.6% implied probability after his late-March formal nomination by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø, spotlighting his defense of democracy amid Russia's invasion. Yulia Navalnaya trails closely at 8.5%, buoyed by her enduring symbolism as Alexei Navalny's successor in the Russian opposition narrative, while Donald Trump sits at 7.5% on momentum from U.S. congressional nominations and claims of diplomatic breakthroughs like India-Pakistan de-escalation. No outcome exceeds 10%, underscoring the Nobel Committee's history of upsets favoring underdogs or organizations; key differentiators include Zelenskyy's wartime leadership, Navalnaya's human rights advocacy, and Trump's deal-making rhetoric, with buzz intensifying ahead of the October 2026 announcement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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