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ユーロビジョン2026 :トップ3

Market icon

ユーロビジョン2026 :トップ3

$23,681 Vol.

2026/05/16
Polymarket

$23,681 Vol.

Polymarket
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フィンランド

$5,110 Vol.

69%

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ギリシャ

$190 Vol.

47%

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フランス

$476 Vol.

42%

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デンマーク

$310 Vol.

35%

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スウェーデン

$388 Vol.

29%

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イスラエル

$1,146 Vol.

28%

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オーストラリア

$0 Vol.

25%

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ウクライナ

$0 Vol.

17%

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マルタ

$0 Vol.

16%

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イタリア

$533 Vol.

18%

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イギリス

$0 Vol.

13%

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チェコ

$0 Vol.

12%

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モルドバ

$0 Vol.

12%

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ブルガリア

$0 Vol.

11%

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ドイツ

$0 Vol.

9%

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リトアニア

$0 Vol.

7%

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キプロス

$0 Vol.

7%

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オーストリア

$0 Vol.

7%

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ベルギー

$0 Vol.

7%

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ラトビア

$0 Vol.

7%

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ポルトガル

$0 Vol.

6%

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ルーマニア

$0 Vol.

6%

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モンテネグロ

$166 Vol.

6%

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ポーランド

$168 Vol.

6%

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アルバニア

$0 Vol.

6%

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クロアチア

$63 Vol.

6%

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アゼルバイジャン

$0 Vol.

6%

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スイス

$0 Vol.

6%

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ノルウェー

$287 Vol.

5%

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セルビア

$24 Vol.

10%

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ジョージア

$14,820 Vol.

5%

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アルメニア

$0 Vol.

4%

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サンマリノ

$0 Vol.

4%

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ルクセンブルク

$0 Vol.

3%

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エストニア

$0 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland has emerged as the clear early frontrunner for a Eurovision 2026 top 3 finish following its dominant UMK national final win with Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," a genre-blending track securing high jury and televote scores that signal broad appeal in Vienna. France climbed betting ranks after recently unveiling its operatic entry, while Denmark, Greece, and Sweden's "My System" maintain momentum from strong national selections wrapping up in late March, including recent finals in Poland, Portugal, and Norway. With all major entries now confirmed, trader sentiment hinges on historical jury-televote splits and staging potential. First rehearsals at Wiener Stadthalle begin next month ahead of semis on May 12 and 14, and the grand final on May 16, where previews and allocations could spark shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$23,681
終了日
2026/05/16
マーケット開始日
Mar 9, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland has emerged as the clear early frontrunner for a Eurovision 2026 top 3 finish following its dominant UMK national final win with Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," a genre-blending track securing high jury and televote scores that signal broad appeal in Vienna. France climbed betting ranks after recently unveiling its operatic entry, while Denmark, Greece, and Sweden's "My System" maintain momentum from strong national selections wrapping up in late March, including recent finals in Poland, Portugal, and Norway. With all major entries now confirmed, trader sentiment hinges on historical jury-televote splits and staging potential. First rehearsals at Wiener Stadthalle begin next month ahead of semis on May 12 and 14, and the grand final on May 16, where previews and allocations could spark shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$23,681
終了日
2026/05/16
マーケット開始日
Mar 9, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ユーロビジョン2026 :トップ3」はPolymarket上の35個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「フィンランド」で69%、次いで「ギリシャ」が47%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、69¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に69%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ユーロビジョン2026 :トップ3」は$23.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 9, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ユーロビジョン2026 :トップ3」で取引するには、このページに記載されている35個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ユーロビジョン2026 :トップ3」の現在のフロントランナーは「フィンランド」で69%であり、市場がこの結果に69%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ギリシャ」で47%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ユーロビジョン2026 :トップ3」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。