Trader consensus favors below 130mm total precipitation (42.5%) after Hong Kong Observatory recorded just 60mm through April 16, mainly from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5 amid otherwise dry conditions during the rainy season's start. This lags the historical April average of around 137mm, with recent hot, stable weather—marking the year's hottest day on April 16—suppressing showers. Forecasts signal nine days of potential showers from mid-April, boosting odds for 150-160mm (23%), as traders weigh normalization risks against persistent dryness in the remaining 12 days. HKO's seasonal outlook projects normal to above-normal rainfall for April-June, but current deficits dominate pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月の香港の降水量は？
4月の香港の降水量は？
130mm未満 43%
150〜160mm 24%
130〜140mm 16%
190mm以上 11%
$31,609 Vol.
$31,609 Vol.
2026/04/30
130mm未満
43%
130〜140mm
16%
140〜150mm
15%
150〜160mm
24%
160〜170mm
7%
190〜200mm
10%
180～190
11%
190mm以上
11%
130mm未満 43%
150〜160mm 24%
130〜140mm 16%
190mm以上 11%
$31,609 Vol.
$31,609 Vol.
2026/04/30
130mm未満
$14,449 Vol.
43%
130〜140mm
$5,389 Vol.
16%
140〜150mm
$5,976 Vol.
15%
150〜160mm
$3,455 Vol.
24%
160〜170mm
$432 Vol.
7%
190〜200mm
$380 Vol.
10%
180～190
$446 Vol.
11%
190mm以上
$1,081 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors below 130mm total precipitation (42.5%) after Hong Kong Observatory recorded just 60mm through April 16, mainly from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5 amid otherwise dry conditions during the rainy season's start. This lags the historical April average of around 137mm, with recent hot, stable weather—marking the year's hottest day on April 16—suppressing showers. Forecasts signal nine days of potential showers from mid-April, boosting odds for 150-160mm (23%), as traders weigh normalization risks against persistent dryness in the remaining 12 days. HKO's seasonal outlook projects normal to above-normal rainfall for April-June, but current deficits dominate pricing.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
音量
$31,609終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors below 130mm total precipitation (42.5%) after Hong Kong Observatory recorded just 60mm through April 16, mainly from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5 amid otherwise dry conditions during the rainy season's start. This lags the historical April average of around 137mm, with recent hot, stable weather—marking the year's hottest day on April 16—suppressing showers. Forecasts signal nine days of potential showers from mid-April, boosting odds for 150-160mm (23%), as traders weigh normalization risks against persistent dryness in the remaining 12 days. HKO's seasonal outlook projects normal to above-normal rainfall for April-June, but current deficits dominate pricing.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$31,609終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors below 130mm total precipitation (42.5%) after Hong Kong Observatory recorded just 60mm through April 16, mainly from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5 amid otherwise dry conditions during the rainy season's start. This lags the historical April average of around 137mm, with recent hot, stable weather—marking the year's hottest day on April 16—suppressing showers. Forecasts signal nine days of potential showers from mid-April, boosting odds for 150-160mm (23%), as traders weigh normalization risks against persistent dryness in the remaining 12 days. HKO's seasonal outlook projects normal to above-normal rainfall for April-June, but current deficits dominate pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問