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政治·関税

3月31日の米国の中国に対する関税率は？

Market icon
政治·関税

3月31日の米国の中国に対する関税率は？

10

5〜15% 96.5%

15～25％ 2.3%

5%未満 1.2%

25〜35％ <1%

Polymarket

$674,458 Vol.

5〜15% 96.5%

15～25％ 2.3%

5%未満 1.2%

25〜35％ <1%

Polymarket

$674,458 Vol.

5%未満

$70,541 Vol.

1%

5〜15%

$72,432 Vol.

97%

15～25％

$284,768 Vol.

2%

25〜35％

$135,227 Vol.

<1%

35％以上

$111,489 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from the People's Republic of China on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. The general tariff rate refers to the base tariff rate paid on imports, including any general tariff the U.S. imposes on all imports (e.g. a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 10% tariff on top of that on Chinese imports would equal a 20% tariff). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Item specific exceptions or increases will not be considered (i.e. this market does not refer to the effective tariff rate). Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify. Tariffs which are paused, or which have been announced but have not yet gone into effect will not be considered. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices a 5–15% U.S. tariff rate on China as of March 31 at 96.9%, reflecting the status quo effective rate around 12% under longstanding Section 301 duties imposed in 2018–2019 and retained across administrations. No executive orders, USTR proclamations, or trade representative announcements have broadened hikes in the first months of the Trump administration, despite campaign pledges of 60% tariffs, as implementation demands 30–60 day notices, stakeholder consultations, and WTO compliance reviews. Recent priorities centered on 25% tariffs against Mexico and Canada for border security, diverting focus from China. While national security rationales could prompt accelerated changes via presidential memorandum, procedural timelines and diplomatic negotiations make pre-March 31 shifts improbable.

Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices a 5–15% U.S. tariff rate on China as of March 31 at 96.9%, reflecting the status quo effective rate around 12% under longstanding Section 301 duties imposed in 2018–2019 and retained across administrations. No executive orders, USTR proclamations, or trade representative announcements have broadened hikes in the first months of the Trump administration, despite campaign pledges of 60% tariffs, as implementation demands 30–60 day notices, stakeholder consultations, and WTO compliance reviews. Recent priorities centered on 25% tariffs against Mexico and Canada for border security, diverting focus from China. While national security rationales could prompt accelerated changes via presidential memorandum, procedural timelines and diplomatic negotiations make pre-March 31 shifts improbable.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from the People's Republic of China on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. The general tariff rate refers to the base tariff rate paid on imports, including any general tariff the U.S. imposes on all imports (e.g. a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 10% tariff on top of that on Chinese imports would equal a 20% tariff). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Item specific exceptions or increases will not be considered (i.e. this market does not refer to the effective tariff rate). Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify. Tariffs which are paused, or which have been announced but have not yet gone into effect will not be considered. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices a 5–15% U.S. tariff rate on China as of March 31 at 96.9%, reflecting the status quo effective rate around 12% under longstanding Section 301 duties imposed in 2018–2019 and retained across administrations. No executive orders, USTR proclamations, or trade representative announcements have broadened hikes in the first months of the Trump administration, despite campaign pledges of 60% tariffs, as implementation demands 30–60 day notices, stakeholder consultations, and WTO compliance reviews. Recent priorities centered on 25% tariffs against Mexico and Canada for border security, diverting focus from China. While national security rationales could prompt accelerated changes via presidential memorandum, procedural timelines and diplomatic negotiations make pre-March 31 shifts improbable.

Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices a 5–15% U.S. tariff rate on China as of March 31 at 96.9%, reflecting the status quo effective rate around 12% under longstanding Section 301 duties imposed in 2018–2019 and retained across administrations. No executive orders, USTR proclamations, or trade representative announcements have broadened hikes in the first months of the Trump administration, despite campaign pledges of 60% tariffs, as implementation demands 30–60 day notices, stakeholder consultations, and WTO compliance reviews. Recent priorities centered on 25% tariffs against Mexico and Canada for border security, diverting focus from China. While national security rationales could prompt accelerated changes via presidential memorandum, procedural timelines and diplomatic negotiations make pre-March 31 shifts improbable.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「3月31日の米国の中国に対する関税率は？」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「5〜15%」で97%、次いで「15～25％」が2%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、97¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に97%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「3月31日の米国の中国に対する関税率は？」は$674.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 21, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「3月31日の米国の中国に対する関税率は？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「3月31日の米国の中国に対する関税率は？」の現在のフロントランナーは「5〜15%」で97%であり、市場がこの結果に97%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「15～25％」で2%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「3月31日の米国の中国に対する関税率は？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。