Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward under 3 million TSA-screened passengers on April 3 (52.5% implied probability) over the 3.0M-3.2M band (46%), reflecting spring break peaks capping at 2.87 million on March 22 and 2.76 million on March 29 amid ongoing government shutdown chaos—high TSA callouts over 10%, 450-plus quits, and four-hour lines deterring some flyers despite record 171 million projected March-April travelers. Easter Thursday momentum (April 5 holiday) and yesterday's paycheck resumption via executive order could boost staffing for higher throughput, but lingering morale issues and competition from driving alternatives keep the race tight; watch March 30-31 data and airline load factors for swing signals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Number of TSA Passengers April 3?
Number of TSA Passengers April 3?
<3.0M 55%
3.0M-3.2M 46%
3.6M-3.8M 46%
>3.8M 31%
新規
新規
2026/04/03
<3.0M
55%
3.0M-3.2M
46%
3.2M-3.4M
3%
3.4M-3.6M
2%
3.6M-3.8M
46%
>3.8M
31%
<3.0M 55%
3.0M-3.2M 46%
3.6M-3.8M 46%
>3.8M 31%
新規
新規
2026/04/03
<3.0M
$22 Vol.
55%
3.0M-3.2M
$5 Vol.
46%
3.2M-3.4M
$388 Vol.
3%
3.4M-3.6M
$288 Vol.
2%
3.6M-3.8M
$263 Vol.
46%
>3.8M
$401 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward under 3 million TSA-screened passengers on April 3 (52.5% implied probability) over the 3.0M-3.2M band (46%), reflecting spring break peaks capping at 2.87 million on March 22 and 2.76 million on March 29 amid ongoing government shutdown chaos—high TSA callouts over 10%, 450-plus quits, and four-hour lines deterring some flyers despite record 171 million projected March-April travelers. Easter Thursday momentum (April 5 holiday) and yesterday's paycheck resumption via executive order could boost staffing for higher throughput, but lingering morale issues and competition from driving alternatives keep the race tight; watch March 30-31 data and airline load factors for swing signals.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
マーケット開始日： Mar 30, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
音量
$1,368終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 6:11 PM ETThis market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward under 3 million TSA-screened passengers on April 3 (52.5% implied probability) over the 3.0M-3.2M band (46%), reflecting spring break peaks capping at 2.87 million on March 22 and 2.76 million on March 29 amid ongoing government shutdown chaos—high TSA callouts over 10%, 450-plus quits, and four-hour lines deterring some flyers despite record 171 million projected March-April travelers. Easter Thursday momentum (April 5 holiday) and yesterday's paycheck resumption via executive order could boost staffing for higher throughput, but lingering morale issues and competition from driving alternatives keep the race tight; watch March 30-31 data and airline load factors for swing signals.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
音量
$1,368終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 6:11 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward under 3 million TSA-screened passengers on April 3 (52.5% implied probability) over the 3.0M-3.2M band (46%), reflecting spring break peaks capping at 2.87 million on March 22 and 2.76 million on March 29 amid ongoing government shutdown chaos—high TSA callouts over 10%, 450-plus quits, and four-hour lines deterring some flyers despite record 171 million projected March-April travelers. Easter Thursday momentum (April 5 holiday) and yesterday's paycheck resumption via executive order could boost staffing for higher throughput, but lingering morale issues and competition from driving alternatives keep the race tight; watch March 30-31 data and airline load factors for swing signals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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