Polymarket traders price a 68% implied probability for Banco de la República to hike its monetary policy rate at the April 30 meeting, reflecting persistent inflationary pressures after consecutive 100 basis point increases to 11.25% on January 30 and March 31. February 2026 CPI eased slightly to 5.3% year-over-year from 5.4% prior, but core inflation lingers near 6.1%, fueled by minimum wage hikes, elevated oil prices around $100 per barrel, and climatic shocks, keeping headline figures above the 3% target. No-change odds at 29.5% capture split board votes and government pushback, while cuts at 0.3% face high barriers amid tightening cycle projections peaking near 12%. March CPI data, due imminently, could sway sentiment ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日利上げ 68%
変更なし 30%
利下げ <1%
$18,212 Vol.
$18,212 Vol.
2026/04/30
利下げ
<1%
変更なし
30%
利上げ
68%
利上げ 68%
変更なし 30%
利下げ <1%
$18,212 Vol.
$18,212 Vol.
2026/04/30
利下げ
$7,170 Vol.
<1%
変更なし
$4,100 Vol.
30%
利上げ
$6,943 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 68% implied probability for Banco de la República to hike its monetary policy rate at the April 30 meeting, reflecting persistent inflationary pressures after consecutive 100 basis point increases to 11.25% on January 30 and March 31. February 2026 CPI eased slightly to 5.3% year-over-year from 5.4% prior, but core inflation lingers near 6.1%, fueled by minimum wage hikes, elevated oil prices around $100 per barrel, and climatic shocks, keeping headline figures above the 3% target. No-change odds at 29.5% capture split board votes and government pushback, while cuts at 0.3% face high barriers amid tightening cycle projections peaking near 12%. March CPI data, due imminently, could sway sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日： Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
音量
$18,212終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 68% implied probability for Banco de la República to hike its monetary policy rate at the April 30 meeting, reflecting persistent inflationary pressures after consecutive 100 basis point increases to 11.25% on January 30 and March 31. February 2026 CPI eased slightly to 5.3% year-over-year from 5.4% prior, but core inflation lingers near 6.1%, fueled by minimum wage hikes, elevated oil prices around $100 per barrel, and climatic shocks, keeping headline figures above the 3% target. No-change odds at 29.5% capture split board votes and government pushback, while cuts at 0.3% face high barriers amid tightening cycle projections peaking near 12%. March CPI data, due imminently, could sway sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$18,212終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 68% implied probability for Banco de la República to hike its monetary policy rate at the April 30 meeting, reflecting persistent inflationary pressures after consecutive 100 basis point increases to 11.25% on January 30 and March 31. February 2026 CPI eased slightly to 5.3% year-over-year from 5.4% prior, but core inflation lingers near 6.1%, fueled by minimum wage hikes, elevated oil prices around $100 per barrel, and climatic shocks, keeping headline figures above the 3% target. No-change odds at 29.5% capture split board votes and government pushback, while cuts at 0.3% face high barriers amid tightening cycle projections peaking near 12%. March CPI data, due imminently, could sway sentiment ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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