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エコノミー·韓国

韓国銀行は4月に決定しましたか？

Market icon
エコノミー·韓国

韓国銀行は4月に決定しましたか？

Apr 10

May 28

Apr 10

May 28

据え置き 95%

引き下げ 3.5%

引き上げ 2.1%

Polymarket

$21,385 Vol.

据え置き 95%

引き下げ 3.5%

引き上げ 2.1%

Polymarket

$21,385 Vol.

引き下げ

$3,444 Vol.

3%

据え置き

$14,168 Vol.

95%

引き上げ

$3,772 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s April monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its April 10, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their April 10, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its benchmark rate steady at 3.50% during its April 18 meeting, driven by cooling headline inflation to 2.9% year-over-year in March—below expectations—yet persistent core inflation near 2.4% and elevated household debt levels exceeding 170% of GDP tempering cut expectations. Governor Rhee Chang-yong's recent remarks underscored a patient monetary policy stance amid sluggish exports, moderating consumer spending, and won depreciation pressures near 1,380 per dollar. This positioning aligns with the central bank's holds since October 2023. Realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected inflation drop or growth contraction in Q1 GDP data due April 25, though such shifts appear unlikely absent major shocks.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its benchmark rate steady at 3.50% during its April 18 meeting, driven by cooling headline inflation to 2.9% year-over-year in March—below expectations—yet persistent core inflation near 2.4% and elevated household debt levels exceeding 170% of GDP tempering cut expectations. Governor Rhee Chang-yong's recent remarks underscored a patient monetary policy stance amid sluggish exports, moderating consumer spending, and won depreciation pressures near 1,380 per dollar. This positioning aligns with the central bank's holds since October 2023. Realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected inflation drop or growth contraction in Q1 GDP data due April 25, though such shifts appear unlikely absent major shocks.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s April monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its April 10, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their April 10, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its benchmark rate steady at 3.50% during its April 18 meeting, driven by cooling headline inflation to 2.9% year-over-year in March—below expectations—yet persistent core inflation near 2.4% and elevated household debt levels exceeding 170% of GDP tempering cut expectations. Governor Rhee Chang-yong's recent remarks underscored a patient monetary policy stance amid sluggish exports, moderating consumer spending, and won depreciation pressures near 1,380 per dollar. This positioning aligns with the central bank's holds since October 2023. Realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected inflation drop or growth contraction in Q1 GDP data due April 25, though such shifts appear unlikely absent major shocks.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its benchmark rate steady at 3.50% during its April 18 meeting, driven by cooling headline inflation to 2.9% year-over-year in March—below expectations—yet persistent core inflation near 2.4% and elevated household debt levels exceeding 170% of GDP tempering cut expectations. Governor Rhee Chang-yong's recent remarks underscored a patient monetary policy stance amid sluggish exports, moderating consumer spending, and won depreciation pressures near 1,380 per dollar. This positioning aligns with the central bank's holds since October 2023. Realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected inflation drop or growth contraction in Q1 GDP data due April 25, though such shifts appear unlikely absent major shocks.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「韓国銀行は4月に決定しましたか？」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「据え置き」で95%、次いで「引き下げ」が3%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、95¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に95%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「韓国銀行は4月に決定しましたか？」は$21.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 15, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「韓国銀行は4月に決定しましたか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「韓国銀行は4月に決定しましたか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「据え置き」で95%であり、市場がこの結果に95%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「引き下げ」で3%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「韓国銀行は4月に決定しましたか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。