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エコノミー·グローバルレート

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?

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エコノミー·グローバルレート

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?

Apr 7

May 27

Apr 7

May 27

No Change 59%

Increase 32%

Decrease 6.2%

Polymarket
NEW

No Change 59%

Increase 32%

Decrease 6.2%

Polymarket
NEW

Increase

$253 Vol.

36%

No Change

$308 Vol.

59%

Decrease

$711 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58.5% implied probability for the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to hold its Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 2.25% in May, reflecting balanced risks from persistent inflation above the 1-3% target band—Q4 2025 CPI at 3.1%—and subdued economic growth, with Q4 GDP expanding modestly but below expectations on March 18 and unemployment near 5.4%. A 35.5% chance of a hike stems from escalating Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict driving oil prices higher and inflation expectations, prompting RBNZ Governor Anna Breman's February signals of gradual normalization later in 2026. Low 6.1% odds for a cut underscore spare capacity easing pressures. Watch the April 8 OCR review for shifts ahead of May.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58.5% implied probability for the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to hold its Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 2.25% in May, reflecting balanced risks from persistent inflation above the 1-3% target band—Q4 2025 CPI at 3.1%—and subdued economic growth, with Q4 GDP expanding modestly but below expectations on March 18 and unemployment near 5.4%. A 35.5% chance of a hike stems from escalating Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict driving oil prices higher and inflation expectations, prompting RBNZ Governor Anna Breman's February signals of gradual normalization later in 2026. Low 6.1% odds for a cut underscore spare capacity easing pressures. Watch the April 8 OCR review for shifts ahead of May.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58.5% implied probability for the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to hold its Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 2.25% in May, reflecting balanced risks from persistent inflation above the 1-3% target band—Q4 2025 CPI at 3.1%—and subdued economic growth, with Q4 GDP expanding modestly but below expectations on March 18 and unemployment near 5.4%. A 35.5% chance of a hike stems from escalating Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict driving oil prices higher and inflation expectations, prompting RBNZ Governor Anna Breman's February signals of gradual normalization later in 2026. Low 6.1% odds for a cut underscore spare capacity easing pressures. Watch the April 8 OCR review for shifts ahead of May.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58.5% implied probability for the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to hold its Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 2.25% in May, reflecting balanced risks from persistent inflation above the 1-3% target band—Q4 2025 CPI at 3.1%—and subdued economic growth, with Q4 GDP expanding modestly but below expectations on March 18 and unemployment near 5.4%. A 35.5% chance of a hike stems from escalating Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict driving oil prices higher and inflation expectations, prompting RBNZ Governor Anna Breman's February signals of gradual normalization later in 2026. Low 6.1% odds for a cut underscore spare capacity easing pressures. Watch the April 8 OCR review for shifts ahead of May.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「No Change」で59%、次いで「Increase」が36%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、59¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に59%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Feb 17, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?」の現在のフロントランナーは「No Change」で59%であり、市場がこの結果に59%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Increase」で36%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。