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エコノミー·ニュージーランド

4月のニュージーランド準備銀行の決定は？

Market icon
エコノミー·ニュージーランド

4月のニュージーランド準備銀行の決定は？

Apr 7

May 27

Apr 7

May 27

据え置き 96.8%

引き上げ 3.2%

引き下げ <1%

Polymarket

$26,306 Vol.

据え置き 96.8%

引き上げ 3.2%

引き下げ <1%

Polymarket

$26,306 Vol.

引き下げ

$5,621 Vol.

<1%

据え置き

$8,121 Vol.

97%

引き上げ

$12,564 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 96.8% implied probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at the April 8, 2026, Monetary Policy Review, reflecting the February 2026 decision to hold the OCR steady at 2.25% amid annual CPI inflation of 3.1% for the December 2025 quarter—slightly above the 1-3% target band but tracking toward the 2% midpoint by mid-2027 per RBNZ projections. A nascent economic recovery, with unemployment at 5.4% and filled jobs rising modestly, supports prolonged loose monetary policy without immediate adjustment needs. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected Q1 inflation data (due April 21 post-decision) or escalating global risks like Middle East tensions prompting a hike, though a cut remains improbable absent sharp labor market deterioration.

Polymarket traders price a 96.8% implied probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at the April 8, 2026, Monetary Policy Review, reflecting the February 2026 decision to hold the OCR steady at 2.25% amid annual CPI inflation of 3.1% for the December 2025 quarter—slightly above the 1-3% target band but tracking toward the 2% midpoint by mid-2027 per RBNZ projections. A nascent economic recovery, with unemployment at 5.4% and filled jobs rising modestly, supports prolonged loose monetary policy without immediate adjustment needs. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected Q1 inflation data (due April 21 post-decision) or escalating global risks like Middle East tensions prompting a hike, though a cut remains improbable absent sharp labor market deterioration.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 96.8% implied probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at the April 8, 2026, Monetary Policy Review, reflecting the February 2026 decision to hold the OCR steady at 2.25% amid annual CPI inflation of 3.1% for the December 2025 quarter—slightly above the 1-3% target band but tracking toward the 2% midpoint by mid-2027 per RBNZ projections. A nascent economic recovery, with unemployment at 5.4% and filled jobs rising modestly, supports prolonged loose monetary policy without immediate adjustment needs. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected Q1 inflation data (due April 21 post-decision) or escalating global risks like Middle East tensions prompting a hike, though a cut remains improbable absent sharp labor market deterioration.

Polymarket traders price a 96.8% implied probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at the April 8, 2026, Monetary Policy Review, reflecting the February 2026 decision to hold the OCR steady at 2.25% amid annual CPI inflation of 3.1% for the December 2025 quarter—slightly above the 1-3% target band but tracking toward the 2% midpoint by mid-2027 per RBNZ projections. A nascent economic recovery, with unemployment at 5.4% and filled jobs rising modestly, supports prolonged loose monetary policy without immediate adjustment needs. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected Q1 inflation data (due April 21 post-decision) or escalating global risks like Middle East tensions prompting a hike, though a cut remains improbable absent sharp labor market deterioration.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「4月のニュージーランド準備銀行の決定は？」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「据え置き」で97%、次いで「引き上げ」が3%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、97¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に97%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「4月のニュージーランド準備銀行の決定は？」は$26.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 29, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「4月のニュージーランド準備銀行の決定は？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「4月のニュージーランド準備銀行の決定は？」の現在のフロントランナーは「据え置き」で97%であり、市場がこの結果に97%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「引き上げ」で3%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「4月のニュージーランド準備銀行の決定は？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。