Market icon
エコノミー·RBI

4月のインド準備銀行の決定

Market icon
エコノミー·RBI

4月のインド準備銀行の決定

Apr 8

Apr 8

変更なし 71%

引き上げ 23.6%

引き下げ 5%

Polymarket
NEW

変更なし 71%

引き上げ 23.6%

引き下げ 5%

Polymarket
NEW

引き下げ

$85 Vol.

23%

変更なし

$396 Vol.

71%

引き上げ

$0 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026. This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of India's repo rate at its April 6-8, 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, with a 22.5% chance of a decrease and just 13.5% for an increase. This positioning stems from February 2026 CPI inflation rising to a 10-month high of 3.21% from 2.75% in January—driven by food prices and looming oil risks—tempering expectations for a near-term cut despite Governor Sanjay Malhotra's recent signals that rates will remain "around this level or lower" barring shocks. Robust FY26 GDP growth projections near 7.5% and rupee stability further support the pause, aligning with the MPC's neutral stance from its February decision maintaining the repo rate at 5.25%. March CPI data, due post-meeting on April 13, represents a key watchpoint.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of India's repo rate at its April 6-8, 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, with a 22.5% chance of a decrease and just 13.5% for an increase. This positioning stems from February 2026 CPI inflation rising to a 10-month high of 3.21% from 2.75% in January—driven by food prices and looming oil risks—tempering expectations for a near-term cut despite Governor Sanjay Malhotra's recent signals that rates will remain "around this level or lower" barring shocks. Robust FY26 GDP growth projections near 7.5% and rupee stability further support the pause, aligning with the MPC's neutral stance from its February decision maintaining the repo rate at 5.25%. March CPI data, due post-meeting on April 13, represents a key watchpoint.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026. This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of India's repo rate at its April 6-8, 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, with a 22.5% chance of a decrease and just 13.5% for an increase. This positioning stems from February 2026 CPI inflation rising to a 10-month high of 3.21% from 2.75% in January—driven by food prices and looming oil risks—tempering expectations for a near-term cut despite Governor Sanjay Malhotra's recent signals that rates will remain "around this level or lower" barring shocks. Robust FY26 GDP growth projections near 7.5% and rupee stability further support the pause, aligning with the MPC's neutral stance from its February decision maintaining the repo rate at 5.25%. March CPI data, due post-meeting on April 13, represents a key watchpoint.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of India's repo rate at its April 6-8, 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, with a 22.5% chance of a decrease and just 13.5% for an increase. This positioning stems from February 2026 CPI inflation rising to a 10-month high of 3.21% from 2.75% in January—driven by food prices and looming oil risks—tempering expectations for a near-term cut despite Governor Sanjay Malhotra's recent signals that rates will remain "around this level or lower" barring shocks. Robust FY26 GDP growth projections near 7.5% and rupee stability further support the pause, aligning with the MPC's neutral stance from its February decision maintaining the repo rate at 5.25%. March CPI data, due post-meeting on April 13, represents a key watchpoint.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「4月のインド準備銀行の決定」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「変更なし」で71%、次いで「引き下げ」が23%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、71¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に71%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「4月のインド準備銀行の決定」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Feb 6, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「4月のインド準備銀行の決定」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「4月のインド準備銀行の決定」の現在のフロントランナーは「変更なし」で71%であり、市場がこの結果に71%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「引き下げ」で23%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「4月のインド準備銀行の決定」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。