Recent May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000, well above consensus estimates near 80,000-85,000 with upward revisions to prior months, have anchored trader sentiment for June job gains by underscoring labor market resilience and a steady 4.3% unemployment rate. This outcome, alongside stable wage growth around 3.4% year-over-year and broad hiring in leisure, hospitality, and government, supports the market-implied 41.5% probability on 200k+ additions while tempering downside bets. Persistent inflation concerns and the June 16-17 FOMC projections have shifted focus toward policy caution, reducing rate-cut expectations and highlighting potential moderation risks from a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium. The June report, due July 2, remains the key near-term catalyst alongside weekly jobless claims data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5万~10万 100.0%
<0 <1%
0〜50,000 <1%
10万~15万 <1%
$15,950 Vol.
$15,950 Vol.
<0
いいえ
0〜50,000
いいえ
5万~10万
はい
10万~15万
いいえ
15万~20万
いいえ
20万件以上
いいえ
5万~10万 100.0%
<0 <1%
0〜50,000 <1%
10万~15万 <1%
$15,950 Vol.
$15,950 Vol.
<0
いいえ
0〜50,000
いいえ
5万~10万
はい
10万~15万
いいえ
15万~20万
いいえ
20万件以上
いいえ
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
マーケット開始日: Jun 5, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000, well above consensus estimates near 80,000-85,000 with upward revisions to prior months, have anchored trader sentiment for June job gains by underscoring labor market resilience and a steady 4.3% unemployment rate. This outcome, alongside stable wage growth around 3.4% year-over-year and broad hiring in leisure, hospitality, and government, supports the market-implied 41.5% probability on 200k+ additions while tempering downside bets. Persistent inflation concerns and the June 16-17 FOMC projections have shifted focus toward policy caution, reducing rate-cut expectations and highlighting potential moderation risks from a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium. The June report, due July 2, remains the key near-term catalyst alongside weekly jobless claims data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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