Germany's economy expanded 0.3% quarter-over-quarter in Q1 2026, but trader sentiment on Q2 growth centers on the Iran war's energy price shock, which has prompted repeated downward revisions to full-year 2026 GDP forecasts from roughly 1% to 0.5-0.7% across government and institute projections. Weak domestic demand, flat household consumption, and declining investment in construction and equipment have compounded the drag, partially offset by expansionary fiscal measures on defense and infrastructure. With the 0.1-0.3% and ≤0.0% outcomes closely matched near 50% each, markets price in substantial uncertainty over whether higher input costs will tip the quarter into contraction before the July 30 flash release, while still embedding modest support from public spending.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1.3%+ 3.3%
1.0-1.2% 1%
≤0.0% 0
0.1-0.3% 0
新規
新規
2026/07/30
≤0.0%
49%
0.1-0.3%
52%
0.4-0.6%
37%
0.7-0.9%
40%
1.0-1.2%
19%
1.3%+
3%
1.3%+ 3.3%
1.0-1.2% 1%
≤0.0% 0
0.1-0.3% 0
新規
新規
2026/07/30
≤0.0%
$135 Vol.
49%
0.1-0.3%
$138 Vol.
52%
0.4-0.6%
$76 Vol.
37%
0.7-0.9%
$89 Vol.
40%
1.0-1.2%
$57 Vol.
19%
1.3%+
$76 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q2 of 2026, expected to be released on July 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Germany's economy expanded 0.3% quarter-over-quarter in Q1 2026, but trader sentiment on Q2 growth centers on the Iran war's energy price shock, which has prompted repeated downward revisions to full-year 2026 GDP forecasts from roughly 1% to 0.5-0.7% across government and institute projections. Weak domestic demand, flat household consumption, and declining investment in construction and equipment have compounded the drag, partially offset by expansionary fiscal measures on defense and infrastructure. With the 0.1-0.3% and ≤0.0% outcomes closely matched near 50% each, markets price in substantial uncertainty over whether higher input costs will tip the quarter into contraction before the July 30 flash release, while still embedding modest support from public spending.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q2 of 2026, expected to be released on July 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 4, 2026, 11:46 AM ET
音量
$571終了日
2026/07/30マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q2 of 2026, expected to be released on July 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Germany's economy expanded 0.3% quarter-over-quarter in Q1 2026, but trader sentiment on Q2 growth centers on the Iran war's energy price shock, which has prompted repeated downward revisions to full-year 2026 GDP forecasts from roughly 1% to 0.5-0.7% across government and institute projections. Weak domestic demand, flat household consumption, and declining investment in construction and equipment have compounded the drag, partially offset by expansionary fiscal measures on defense and infrastructure. With the 0.1-0.3% and ≤0.0% outcomes closely matched near 50% each, markets price in substantial uncertainty over whether higher input costs will tip the quarter into contraction before the July 30 flash release, while still embedding modest support from public spending.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q2 of 2026, expected to be released on July 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$571終了日
2026/07/30マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Germany's economy expanded 0.3% quarter-over-quarter in Q1 2026, but trader sentiment on Q2 growth centers on the Iran war's energy price shock, which has prompted repeated downward revisions to full-year 2026 GDP forecasts from roughly 1% to 0.5-0.7% across government and institute projections. Weak domestic demand, flat household consumption, and declining investment in construction and equipment have compounded the drag, partially offset by expansionary fiscal measures on defense and infrastructure. With the 0.1-0.3% and ≤0.0% outcomes closely matched near 50% each, markets price in substantial uncertainty over whether higher input costs will tip the quarter into contraction before the July 30 flash release, while still embedding modest support from public spending.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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