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icon for Nigel FarageがReform UKのリーダーとして... ?

Nigel FarageがReform UKのリーダーとして... ?

icon for Nigel FarageがReform UKのリーダーとして... ?

Nigel FarageがReform UKのリーダーとして... ?

$263,288 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$263,288 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for 2026年12月31日

2026年12月31日

$261,817 Vol.

20%

icon for 2027年3月31日

2027年3月31日

$1,471 Vol.

32%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Nigel Farage remains Reform UK leader following his July 2026 resignation as Clacton MP amid parliamentary standards investigations into undeclared gifts and donor funding, a move he framed as a “people versus the establishment” by-election that he won decisively in August. The party has maintained strong polling leads and secured notable gains in the May 2026 local elections, including control of multiple councils, while Farage used the early September party conference in Birmingham to outline 100-day governance pledges and signal his intent to lead into the next general election. Recent undercover reporting on party polling funding has renewed scrutiny, and personal favorability ratings have declined from prior peaks, yet Farage has publicly dismissed stepping-down rumors and emphasized his fitness to continue. Key upcoming factors include potential further standards rulings, internal party dynamics ahead of any snap election, and Reform’s positioning against Labour and Conservative recovery efforts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$263,288
終了日
2027/04/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 24, 2026, 5:42 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Nigel Farage remains Reform UK leader following his July 2026 resignation as Clacton MP amid parliamentary standards investigations into undeclared gifts and donor funding, a move he framed as a “people versus the establishment” by-election that he won decisively in August. The party has maintained strong polling leads and secured notable gains in the May 2026 local elections, including control of multiple councils, while Farage used the early September party conference in Birmingham to outline 100-day governance pledges and signal his intent to lead into the next general election. Recent undercover reporting on party polling funding has renewed scrutiny, and personal favorability ratings have declined from prior peaks, yet Farage has publicly dismissed stepping-down rumors and emphasized his fitness to continue. Key upcoming factors include potential further standards rulings, internal party dynamics ahead of any snap election, and Reform’s positioning against Labour and Conservative recovery efforts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$263,288
終了日
2027/04/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 24, 2026, 5:42 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Nigel FarageがReform UKのリーダーとして... ?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2027年3月31日」で32%、次いで「2026年12月31日」が20%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、32¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に32%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Nigel FarageがReform UKのリーダーとして... ?」は$263.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jun 24, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Nigel FarageがReform UKのリーダーとして... ?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Nigel FarageがReform UKのリーダーとして... ?」の現在のフロントランナーは「2027年3月31日」で32%であり、市場がこの結果に32%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「2026年12月31日」で20%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Nigel FarageがReform UKのリーダーとして... ?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。