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icon for 選挙後のアンダルシアの大統領？
選挙·スペイン

選挙後のアンダルシアの大統領？

icon for 選挙後のアンダルシアの大統領？
選挙·スペイン

選挙後のアンダルシアの大統領？

Juanma Moreno 98.8%

María Jesús Montero 1.1%

Manuel Gavira <1%

Antonio Maíllo <1%

Polymarket

$22,360 Vol.

Juanma Moreno 98.8%

María Jesús Montero 1.1%

Manuel Gavira <1%

Antonio Maíllo <1%

Polymarket

$22,360 Vol.

icon for Juanma Moreno

Juanma Moreno

$8,500 Vol.

99%

icon for María Jesús Montero

María Jesús Montero

$4,058 Vol.

1%

icon for Manuel Gavira

Manuel Gavira

$3,770 Vol.

<1%

icon for Antonio Maíllo

Antonio Maíllo

$2,958 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Ignacio García

José Ignacio García

$3,073 Vol.

<1%

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Juanma Moreno's commanding 98.9% implied probability as next Andalusia president stems from consistent pre-election polls projecting his Popular Party (PP) to win an absolute majority in the 109-seat regional parliament on May 17. Recent surveys from May 10-12, including Sigma Dos for El Mundo and NC Report, forecast PP at 42-43% (54-58 seats), more than double PSOE's historic low of 23-28% (28-30 seats) under María Jesús Montero, with Vox at 13-15%. This trader consensus reflects Moreno's incumbency strength, stability appeals, and PSOE weakness amid campaign finale. Though exceeding 90%, shifts could arise from turnout surges mobilizing left voters, voter complacency, or unforeseen scandals altering coalition dynamics post-vote.

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count.

If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$22,360
終了日
2026/05/17
マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Juanma Moreno's commanding 98.9% implied probability as next Andalusia president stems from consistent pre-election polls projecting his Popular Party (PP) to win an absolute majority in the 109-seat regional parliament on May 17. Recent surveys from May 10-12, including Sigma Dos for El Mundo and NC Report, forecast PP at 42-43% (54-58 seats), more than double PSOE's historic low of 23-28% (28-30 seats) under María Jesús Montero, with Vox at 13-15%. This trader consensus reflects Moreno's incumbency strength, stability appeals, and PSOE weakness amid campaign finale. Though exceeding 90%, shifts could arise from turnout surges mobilizing left voters, voter complacency, or unforeseen scandals altering coalition dynamics post-vote.

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count.

If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$22,360
終了日
2026/05/17
マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「選挙後のアンダルシアの大統領？」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Juanma Moreno」で99%、次いで「María Jesús Montero」が1%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、99¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に99%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「選挙後のアンダルシアの大統領？」は$22.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 16, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「選挙後のアンダルシアの大統領？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「選挙後のアンダルシアの大統領？」の現在のフロントランナーは「Juanma Moreno」で99%であり、市場がこの結果に99%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「María Jesús Montero」で1%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「選挙後のアンダルシアの大統領？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。