Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Partido Popular (PP) as the winner of Andalusia's regional election on May 17, reflecting consistent pre-election polls projecting Juanma Moreno's incumbents to secure an absolute majority of over 55 seats in the 109-seat Parliament, building on their historic 2022 victory that ended decades of PSOE dominance. Recent surveys from NC Report and others show PP at 38-42% support with 58-59 seats, while PSOE-A under María Jesús Montero sinks to 20-28 seats amid national headwinds and weak campaign momentum. VOX holds third at 13-17 seats, with smaller parties like Adelante Andalucía and Por Andalucía trailing. This near-certain pricing stems from steady polling trends, Moreno's economic record, and low opposition enthusiasm, though scenarios like a turnout surge among left-leaning voters, late scandals, or fragmented right-wing votes could theoretically challenge the outcome before polls close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日PP 99.4%
PSOE-A <1%
VOX <1%
PA <1%
$86,505 Vol.
$86,505 Vol.
2026/05/17
PP
99%
PSOE-A
1%
VOX
<1%
PA
<1%
AA
<1%
PP 99.4%
PSOE-A <1%
VOX <1%
PA <1%
$86,505 Vol.
$86,505 Vol.
2026/05/17
PP
$26,655 Vol.
99%
PSOE-A
$28,446 Vol.
1%
VOX
$23,065 Vol.
<1%
PA
$3,914 Vol.
<1%
AA
$4,426 Vol.
<1%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Partido Popular (PP) as the winner of Andalusia's regional election on May 17, reflecting consistent pre-election polls projecting Juanma Moreno's incumbents to secure an absolute majority of over 55 seats in the 109-seat Parliament, building on their historic 2022 victory that ended decades of PSOE dominance. Recent surveys from NC Report and others show PP at 38-42% support with 58-59 seats, while PSOE-A under María Jesús Montero sinks to 20-28 seats amid national headwinds and weak campaign momentum. VOX holds third at 13-17 seats, with smaller parties like Adelante Andalucía and Por Andalucía trailing. This near-certain pricing stems from steady polling trends, Moreno's economic record, and low opposition enthusiasm, though scenarios like a turnout surge among left-leaning voters, late scandals, or fragmented right-wing votes could theoretically challenge the outcome before polls close.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
音量
$86,505終了日
2026/05/17マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Partido Popular (PP) as the winner of Andalusia's regional election on May 17, reflecting consistent pre-election polls projecting Juanma Moreno's incumbents to secure an absolute majority of over 55 seats in the 109-seat Parliament, building on their historic 2022 victory that ended decades of PSOE dominance. Recent surveys from NC Report and others show PP at 38-42% support with 58-59 seats, while PSOE-A under María Jesús Montero sinks to 20-28 seats amid national headwinds and weak campaign momentum. VOX holds third at 13-17 seats, with smaller parties like Adelante Andalucía and Por Andalucía trailing. This near-certain pricing stems from steady polling trends, Moreno's economic record, and low opposition enthusiasm, though scenarios like a turnout surge among left-leaning voters, late scandals, or fragmented right-wing votes could theoretically challenge the outcome before polls close.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
音量
$86,505終了日
2026/05/17マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Partido Popular (PP) as the winner of Andalusia's regional election on May 17, reflecting consistent pre-election polls projecting Juanma Moreno's incumbents to secure an absolute majority of over 55 seats in the 109-seat Parliament, building on their historic 2022 victory that ended decades of PSOE dominance. Recent surveys from NC Report and others show PP at 38-42% support with 58-59 seats, while PSOE-A under María Jesús Montero sinks to 20-28 seats amid national headwinds and weak campaign momentum. VOX holds third at 13-17 seats, with smaller parties like Adelante Andalucía and Por Andalucía trailing. This near-certain pricing stems from steady polling trends, Moreno's economic record, and low opposition enthusiasm, though scenarios like a turnout surge among left-leaning voters, late scandals, or fragmented right-wing votes could theoretically challenge the outcome before polls close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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