Swedish Social Democratic Party commands 89.5% trader consensus for most seats in Sweden's 2026 parliamentary election under proportional representation, driven by sustained polling leads of 36-38% in recent Novus and SCB surveys, well ahead of Moderates at 19% and Sweden Democrats at 18-20%. The center-right government's unpopularity persists amid escalating gang violence, immigration strains, and economic pressures, with no significant shifts in the past 30 days—latest polls from early November confirm S's dominance. Moderates and Sweden Democrats trail as potential coalition influencers but lack the outright lead, while smaller parties like Greens and Centre remain marginal. The September 13, 2026, vote hinges on turnout and bloc dynamics, with current pricing reflecting wisdom-of-crowds skepticism toward incumbents.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日スウェーデン社会民主労働党（S） 89%
スウェーデン民主党（SD） 5.0%
穏健党（M） 4.3%
緑の党（MP） <1%
$845,249 Vol.
$845,249 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
スウェーデン社会民主労働党（S）
89%
スウェーデン民主党（SD）
5%
穏健党（M）
4%
緑の党（MP）
1%
左翼党（V）
<1%
市民連合（MED）
<1%
中央党（C）
<1%
自由党（L）
<1%
キリスト教民主党（KD）
<1%
スウェーデン社会民主労働党（S） 89%
スウェーデン民主党（SD） 5.0%
穏健党（M） 4.3%
緑の党（MP） <1%
$845,249 Vol.
$845,249 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
スウェーデン社会民主労働党（S）
$25,597 Vol.
89%
スウェーデン民主党（SD）
$368,526 Vol.
5%
穏健党（M）
$372,530 Vol.
4%
緑の党（MP）
$78,595 Vol.
1%
左翼党（V）
$0 Vol.
<1%
市民連合（MED）
$0 Vol.
<1%
中央党（C）
$0 Vol.
<1%
自由党（L）
$0 Vol.
<1%
キリスト教民主党（KD）
$0 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Swedish Social Democratic Party commands 89.5% trader consensus for most seats in Sweden's 2026 parliamentary election under proportional representation, driven by sustained polling leads of 36-38% in recent Novus and SCB surveys, well ahead of Moderates at 19% and Sweden Democrats at 18-20%. The center-right government's unpopularity persists amid escalating gang violence, immigration strains, and economic pressures, with no significant shifts in the past 30 days—latest polls from early November confirm S's dominance. Moderates and Sweden Democrats trail as potential coalition influencers but lack the outright lead, while smaller parties like Greens and Centre remain marginal. The September 13, 2026, vote hinges on turnout and bloc dynamics, with current pricing reflecting wisdom-of-crowds skepticism toward incumbents.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
音量
$845,249終了日
Sep 13, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Swedish Social Democratic Party commands 89.5% trader consensus for most seats in Sweden's 2026 parliamentary election under proportional representation, driven by sustained polling leads of 36-38% in recent Novus and SCB surveys, well ahead of Moderates at 19% and Sweden Democrats at 18-20%. The center-right government's unpopularity persists amid escalating gang violence, immigration strains, and economic pressures, with no significant shifts in the past 30 days—latest polls from early November confirm S's dominance. Moderates and Sweden Democrats trail as potential coalition influencers but lack the outright lead, while smaller parties like Greens and Centre remain marginal. The September 13, 2026, vote hinges on turnout and bloc dynamics, with current pricing reflecting wisdom-of-crowds skepticism toward incumbents.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
音量
$845,249終了日
Sep 13, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Swedish Social Democratic Party commands 89.5% trader consensus for most seats in Sweden's 2026 parliamentary election under proportional representation, driven by sustained polling leads of 36-38% in recent Novus and SCB surveys, well ahead of Moderates at 19% and Sweden Democrats at 18-20%. The center-right government's unpopularity persists amid escalating gang violence, immigration strains, and economic pressures, with no significant shifts in the past 30 days—latest polls from early November confirm S's dominance. Moderates and Sweden Democrats trail as potential coalition influencers but lack the outright lead, while smaller parties like Greens and Centre remain marginal. The September 13, 2026, vote hinges on turnout and bloc dynamics, with current pricing reflecting wisdom-of-crowds skepticism toward incumbents.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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