Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 90% implied probability to finish third in national vote share or seats for Colombia's Chamber of Representatives election, reflecting consistent polling averages that place it behind leading conservative blocs like Partido Conservador Colombiano and Centro Democrático (CD) while ahead of smaller parties such as Partido de la U. Recent surveys from firms like Invamer and Cifras y Conceptos, including one released last week, show PLC maintaining 14-18% support amid President Petro's Historic Pact (PH) struggles and fragmentation among centro parties, bolstering its third-place lock under the proportional representation system by department. No major catalysts have shifted standings in the past 30 days; upcoming candidate lists and departmental primaries could test this, but traders see low risk of upset given PLC's organizational strength.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日コロンビア自由党（PLC） 90.0%
セントロ・デモクラティコ（CD） 8.5%
ラ・ウ党（Partido de la U） 3.1%
コロンビア歴史的協定（PH） <1%
$447,489 Vol.
$447,489 Vol.
Mar 8, 2026
コロンビア自由党（PLC）
90%
セントロ・デモクラティコ（CD）
14%
ラ・ウ党（Partido de la U）
3%
コロンビア歴史的協定（PH）
1%
コロンビア保守党
<1%
グリーン・アライアンス（AV）
<1%
カンビオ・ラディカル（CR）
<1%
MIRA-CJL連合（MIRA-CJL）
<1%
コロンビア自由党（PLC） 90.0%
セントロ・デモクラティコ（CD） 8.5%
ラ・ウ党（Partido de la U） 3.1%
コロンビア歴史的協定（PH） <1%
$447,489 Vol.
$447,489 Vol.
Mar 8, 2026
コロンビア自由党（PLC）
$35,581 Vol.
90%
セントロ・デモクラティコ（CD）
$30,707 Vol.
14%
ラ・ウ党（Partido de la U）
$373,370 Vol.
3%
コロンビア歴史的協定（PH）
$7,831 Vol.
1%
コロンビア保守党
$0 Vol.
<1%
グリーン・アライアンス（AV）
$0 Vol.
<1%
カンビオ・ラディカル（CR）
$0 Vol.
<1%
MIRA-CJL連合（MIRA-CJL）
$0 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 90% implied probability to finish third in national vote share or seats for Colombia's Chamber of Representatives election, reflecting consistent polling averages that place it behind leading conservative blocs like Partido Conservador Colombiano and Centro Democrático (CD) while ahead of smaller parties such as Partido de la U. Recent surveys from firms like Invamer and Cifras y Conceptos, including one released last week, show PLC maintaining 14-18% support amid President Petro's Historic Pact (PH) struggles and fragmentation among centro parties, bolstering its third-place lock under the proportional representation system by department. No major catalysts have shifted standings in the past 30 days; upcoming candidate lists and departmental primaries could test this, but traders see low risk of upset given PLC's organizational strength.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
マーケット開始日： Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
音量
$447,489終了日
Mar 8, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 90% implied probability to finish third in national vote share or seats for Colombia's Chamber of Representatives election, reflecting consistent polling averages that place it behind leading conservative blocs like Partido Conservador Colombiano and Centro Democrático (CD) while ahead of smaller parties such as Partido de la U. Recent surveys from firms like Invamer and Cifras y Conceptos, including one released last week, show PLC maintaining 14-18% support amid President Petro's Historic Pact (PH) struggles and fragmentation among centro parties, bolstering its third-place lock under the proportional representation system by department. No major catalysts have shifted standings in the past 30 days; upcoming candidate lists and departmental primaries could test this, but traders see low risk of upset given PLC's organizational strength.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
音量
$447,489終了日
Mar 8, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 90% implied probability to finish third in national vote share or seats for Colombia's Chamber of Representatives election, reflecting consistent polling averages that place it behind leading conservative blocs like Partido Conservador Colombiano and Centro Democrático (CD) while ahead of smaller parties such as Partido de la U. Recent surveys from firms like Invamer and Cifras y Conceptos, including one released last week, show PLC maintaining 14-18% support amid President Petro's Historic Pact (PH) struggles and fragmentation among centro parties, bolstering its third-place lock under the proportional representation system by department. No major catalysts have shifted standings in the past 30 days; upcoming candidate lists and departmental primaries could test this, but traders see low risk of upset given PLC's organizational strength.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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