Jerry Carl leads the AL-01 Republican primary market at 82.5% following his 40% share in the May 19 ghost primary, outpacing Rhett Marques at 31% and Joshua McKee at 9%. The May vote, though voided by redistricting litigation and a scheduled August 11 special primary, highlighted Carl’s geographic and turnout advantages in the district’s core areas. Marques, a state representative, had shown strength in earlier polls but fell short on primary day, while the remaining candidates each received under 8%. Traders view the May results as the clearest recent indicator of voter preference ahead of the August contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ジェリー・カール 83%
レット・マーケス 8%
ジョシュア・マッキー 2.2%
オースティン・シドウェル 1.5%
$45,273 Vol.
$45,273 Vol.
2026/05/19
ジェリー・カール
83%
レット・マーケス
8%
ジョシュア・マッキー
2%
オースティン・シドウェル
1%
ジェームズ・ディーズ
1%
ジェームズ・リチャードソン
1%
ジョン・ミルズ
<1%
ジェリー・カール 83%
レット・マーケス 8%
ジョシュア・マッキー 2.2%
オースティン・シドウェル 1.5%
$45,273 Vol.
$45,273 Vol.
2026/05/19
ジェリー・カール
$2,796 Vol.
83%
レット・マーケス
$498 Vol.
8%
ジョシュア・マッキー
$199 Vol.
2%
オースティン・シドウェル
$13,752 Vol.
1%
ジェームズ・ディーズ
$4,595 Vol.
1%
ジェームズ・リチャードソン
$6,853 Vol.
1%
ジョン・ミルズ
$16,580 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jerry Carl leads the AL-01 Republican primary market at 82.5% following his 40% share in the May 19 ghost primary, outpacing Rhett Marques at 31% and Joshua McKee at 9%. The May vote, though voided by redistricting litigation and a scheduled August 11 special primary, highlighted Carl’s geographic and turnout advantages in the district’s core areas. Marques, a state representative, had shown strength in earlier polls but fell short on primary day, while the remaining candidates each received under 8%. Traders view the May results as the clearest recent indicator of voter preference ahead of the August contest.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
音量
$45,273終了日
2026/05/19マーケット開始日
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jerry Carl leads the AL-01 Republican primary market at 82.5% following his 40% share in the May 19 ghost primary, outpacing Rhett Marques at 31% and Joshua McKee at 9%. The May vote, though voided by redistricting litigation and a scheduled August 11 special primary, highlighted Carl’s geographic and turnout advantages in the district’s core areas. Marques, a state representative, had shown strength in earlier polls but fell short on primary day, while the remaining candidates each received under 8%. Traders view the May results as the clearest recent indicator of voter preference ahead of the August contest.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$45,273終了日
2026/05/19マーケット開始日
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerry Carl leads the AL-01 Republican primary market at 82.5% following his 40% share in the May 19 ghost primary, outpacing Rhett Marques at 31% and Joshua McKee at 9%. The May vote, though voided by redistricting litigation and a scheduled August 11 special primary, highlighted Carl’s geographic and turnout advantages in the district’s core areas. Marques, a state representative, had shown strength in earlier polls but fell short on primary day, while the remaining candidates each received under 8%. Traders view the May results as the clearest recent indicator of voter preference ahead of the August contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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