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icon for AL -01共和党予備選挙優勝者
政治·プライマリ

AL -01共和党予備選挙優勝者

icon for AL -01共和党予備選挙優勝者
政治·プライマリ

AL -01共和党予備選挙優勝者

ジェリー・カール 83%

レット・マーケス 8%

ジェームズ・ディーズ 1.8%

オースティン・シドウェル 1.2%

Polymarket

$45,273 Vol.

ジェリー・カール 83%

レット・マーケス 8%

ジェームズ・ディーズ 1.8%

オースティン・シドウェル 1.2%

Polymarket

$45,273 Vol.

ジェリー・カール

$2,796 Vol.

83%

レット・マーケス

$498 Vol.

13%

ジェームズ・ディーズ

$4,595 Vol.

2%

オースティン・シドウェル

$13,752 Vol.

1%

ジョシュア・マッキー

$199 Vol.

10%

ジェームズ・リチャードソン

$6,853 Vol.

1%

ジョン・ミルズ

$16,580 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jerry Carl holds a commanding position in the Alabama 1st Congressional District Republican primary due to his prior service representing the district in the U.S. House, established name recognition across Mobile and surrounding areas, and a fundraising advantage. The recent shift of state Rep. Rhett Marques to an adjacent district has removed the leading alternative, consolidating support behind Carl ahead of the August 11 primary. A non-binding May primary vote, later invalidated amid ongoing redistricting litigation, showed Carl ahead of Marques by roughly nine points, aligning with patterns of geographic voter preference. The remaining candidates, including Joshua McKee, trail substantially in visibility and resources, limiting their pathways to the nomination under Alabama's primary rules. Trader consensus reflects these structural and recent political factors.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$45,273
終了日
2026/05/19
マーケット開始日
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jerry Carl holds a commanding position in the Alabama 1st Congressional District Republican primary due to his prior service representing the district in the U.S. House, established name recognition across Mobile and surrounding areas, and a fundraising advantage. The recent shift of state Rep. Rhett Marques to an adjacent district has removed the leading alternative, consolidating support behind Carl ahead of the August 11 primary. A non-binding May primary vote, later invalidated amid ongoing redistricting litigation, showed Carl ahead of Marques by roughly nine points, aligning with patterns of geographic voter preference. The remaining candidates, including Joshua McKee, trail substantially in visibility and resources, limiting their pathways to the nomination under Alabama's primary rules. Trader consensus reflects these structural and recent political factors.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$45,273
終了日
2026/05/19
マーケット開始日
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「AL -01共和党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ジェリー・カール」で83%、次いで「レット・マーケス」が13%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、83¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に83%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「AL -01共和党予備選挙優勝者」は$45.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 26, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「AL -01共和党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「AL -01共和党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ジェリー・カール」で83%であり、市場がこの結果に83%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「レット・マーケス」で13%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「AL -01共和党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。