Trader consensus heavily favors Choo Mi-ae at 76% implied probability to win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election, driven by her status as a leading Democratic Party contender in the left-leaning province, bolstered by her experience as former Justice Minister and recent signals of strong party backing amid primary positioning. Incumbent Governor Kim Dong-yeon's 17.5% share reflects uncertainty over his re-election bid, with reports of potential higher ambitions like a presidential run weakening his position. Conservative figures like Yoo Seung-min (7%) lag due to the People Power Party's historical struggles in Gyeonggi battlegrounds. No major developments in the past 30 days; markets await DP nomination processes and candidate filings ahead of the June 2026 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日チュ・ミエ 76.4%
キム・ドンヨン 18%
ユ・ソンミン 2.4%
ハン・ジュンホ 1.9%
$2,374,295 Vol.
$2,374,295 Vol.
チュ・ミエ
76%
キム・ドンヨン
18%
ユ・ソンミン
2%
ハン・ジュンホ
2%
ウォン・ヒリョン
<1%
イ・ジュンソク
<1%
ナ・ギョンウォン
<1%
ヨム・テヨン
<1%
イ・ウンジュ
<1%
キム・ムンス
<1%
アン・チョルス
<1%
ハン・ドンフン
<1%
キム・ビョンジュ
<1%
キム・ウンヘ
<1%
チュ・ミエ 76.4%
キム・ドンヨン 18%
ユ・ソンミン 2.4%
ハン・ジュンホ 1.9%
$2,374,295 Vol.
$2,374,295 Vol.
チュ・ミエ
76%
キム・ドンヨン
18%
ユ・ソンミン
2%
ハン・ジュンホ
2%
ウォン・ヒリョン
<1%
イ・ジュンソク
<1%
ナ・ギョンウォン
<1%
ヨム・テヨン
<1%
イ・ウンジュ
<1%
キム・ムンス
<1%
アン・チョルス
<1%
ハン・ドンフン
<1%
キム・ビョンジュ
<1%
キム・ウンヘ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
マーケット開始日: Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Choo Mi-ae at 76% implied probability to win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election, driven by her status as a leading Democratic Party contender in the left-leaning province, bolstered by her experience as former Justice Minister and recent signals of strong party backing amid primary positioning. Incumbent Governor Kim Dong-yeon's 17.5% share reflects uncertainty over his re-election bid, with reports of potential higher ambitions like a presidential run weakening his position. Conservative figures like Yoo Seung-min (7%) lag due to the People Power Party's historical struggles in Gyeonggi battlegrounds. No major developments in the past 30 days; markets await DP nomination processes and candidate filings ahead of the June 2026 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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