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icon for PA -07民主党予備選挙優勝者
選挙·ペンシルベニア州予備選挙

PA -07民主党予備選挙優勝者

icon for PA -07民主党予備選挙優勝者
選挙·ペンシルベニア州予備選挙

PA -07民主党予備選挙優勝者

Bob Brooks 92%

ライアン・クロスウェル 3.1%

Lamont McClure 2.6%

Carol Obando-Derstine 2.0%

Polymarket

$24,120 Vol.

Bob Brooks 92%

ライアン・クロスウェル 3.1%

Lamont McClure 2.6%

Carol Obando-Derstine 2.0%

Polymarket

$24,120 Vol.

Bob Brooks

$4,085 Vol.

92%

ライアン・クロスウェル

$4,484 Vol.

3%

Lamont McClure

$5,003 Vol.

3%

Carol Obando-Derstine

$5,229 Vol.

2%

Lewis Shupe

$3,225 Vol.

<1%

Aiden Gonzalez

$2,094 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bob Brooks commands trader consensus in the PA-07 Democratic primary due to consistent polling leads, including a recent +7-point edge in surveys from GBAO and Stronger Together Pennsylvania through mid-April, bolstered by his working-class credentials as a retired Bethlehem firefighter and fire fighters union president. Key catalysts include the DCCC's May 5 addition of Brooks to its Red to Blue program for strategic and fundraising aid, endorsements from Gov. Josh Shapiro, Sen. Bernie Sanders, Pete Buttigieg—who hosted a supporter call May 7—and major unions like SEIU pouring over $700,000 into ads. With the May 19 closed primary approaching, his fundraising strength ($544,000 cash on hand end-March) and broad coalition outpace rivals Ryan Crosswell, Lamont McClure, and Carol Obando-Derstine. Late challenges could arise from attack ads by a super PAC boosting McClure or unresolved controversies like a pending lawsuit against Brooks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$24,120
終了日
2026/05/19
マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bob Brooks commands trader consensus in the PA-07 Democratic primary due to consistent polling leads, including a recent +7-point edge in surveys from GBAO and Stronger Together Pennsylvania through mid-April, bolstered by his working-class credentials as a retired Bethlehem firefighter and fire fighters union president. Key catalysts include the DCCC's May 5 addition of Brooks to its Red to Blue program for strategic and fundraising aid, endorsements from Gov. Josh Shapiro, Sen. Bernie Sanders, Pete Buttigieg—who hosted a supporter call May 7—and major unions like SEIU pouring over $700,000 into ads. With the May 19 closed primary approaching, his fundraising strength ($544,000 cash on hand end-March) and broad coalition outpace rivals Ryan Crosswell, Lamont McClure, and Carol Obando-Derstine. Late challenges could arise from attack ads by a super PAC boosting McClure or unresolved controversies like a pending lawsuit against Brooks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$24,120
終了日
2026/05/19
マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「PA -07民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Bob Brooks」で92%、次いで「ライアン・クロスウェル」が3%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、92¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に92%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「PA -07民主党予備選挙優勝者」は$24.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 20, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「PA -07民主党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「PA -07民主党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「Bob Brooks」で92%であり、市場がこの結果に92%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ライアン・クロスウェル」で3%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「PA -07民主党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。