California's nonpartisan top-two primary for governor on June 2, 2026, replacing term-limited incumbent Gavin Newsom, features a crowded field of eight Democrats and two Republicans with no dominant leader. Recent March polls—including Emerson College (March 7–9, Swalwell at 17%), Berkeley IGS (March 9–14, Hilton 17% and Bianco 16%), and Echelon Insights (March 12–17, Hilton 20%)—highlight Democratic fragmentation among candidates like Eric Swalwell, Katie Porter, and Tom Steyer, enabling Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco and commentator Steve Hilton to vie for advancement. High undecided rates (16–25%) and voter priorities on affordability and government waste underscore the volatile race, as ballots mail in late May ahead of early voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$274,199 Vol.
Jun 2, 2026
エレイン・クロッティ
90%
スティーブ・ヒルトン
66%
エリック・スウォルウェル
64%
チャド・ビアンコ
36%
トム・スタイヤー
27%
マット・マハン
21%
ケイティ・ポーター
17%
ザビエル・ベセラ
9%
ベティ・イー
6%
チェ・アン
5%
イーサン・アガワル
5%
トニー・サーマンド
5%
シャリファ・ハーディー
4%
ジミー・パーカー
4%
アントニオ・ビヤライゴーサ
3%
ライアン・ティルマン
3%
ディラン・コルバート
3%
ダニエル・メルクリ
3%
ニッキー・ミナージュ
3%
デレク・グラスティ
3%
レオ・ザッキー
2%
デビッド・セルパ
2%
ジャヴェン・アレン
12%
レナード・ジャクソン
2%
ラジ・ラブ
2%
キャロライナ・ビューラー
2%
ニコラス・トンプソン
2%
カイル・ラングフォード
2%
ブランドン・ジョーンズ
2%
ブッチ・ウェア
2%
ゾルタン・イシュトヴァン
2%
サンダー・パーリー
1%
ラムジー・ロビンソン
1%
イアン・カルデロン
1%
デイビッド・セーレン
1%
ソフィア・ブリンク
1%
$274,199 Vol.
エレイン・クロッティ
$0 Vol.
90%
スティーブ・ヒルトン
$4,059 Vol.
66%
エリック・スウォルウェル
$10,778 Vol.
64%
チャド・ビアンコ
$0 Vol.
36%
トム・スタイヤー
$17,265 Vol.
27%
マット・マハン
$9,373 Vol.
21%
ケイティ・ポーター
$0 Vol.
17%
ザビエル・ベセラ
$0 Vol.
9%
ベティ・イー
$0 Vol.
6%
チェ・アン
$14,574 Vol.
5%
イーサン・アガワル
$2,365 Vol.
5%
トニー・サーマンド
$0 Vol.
5%
シャリファ・ハーディー
$0 Vol.
4%
ジミー・パーカー
$0 Vol.
4%
アントニオ・ビヤライゴーサ
$11,446 Vol.
3%
ライアン・ティルマン
$767 Vol.
3%
ディラン・コルバート
$11,135 Vol.
3%
ダニエル・メルクリ
$8,309 Vol.
3%
ニッキー・ミナージュ
$0 Vol.
3%
デレク・グラスティ
$1,039 Vol.
3%
レオ・ザッキー
$0 Vol.
2%
デビッド・セルパ
$0 Vol.
2%
ジャヴェン・アレン
$0 Vol.
12%
レナード・ジャクソン
$0 Vol.
2%
ラジ・ラブ
$0 Vol.
2%
キャロライナ・ビューラー
$0 Vol.
2%
ニコラス・トンプソン
$0 Vol.
2%
カイル・ラングフォード
$0 Vol.
2%
ブランドン・ジョーンズ
$33,393 Vol.
2%
ブッチ・ウェア
$0 Vol.
2%
ゾルタン・イシュトヴァン
$8,912 Vol.
2%
サンダー・パーリー
$0 Vol.
1%
ラムジー・ロビンソン
$0 Vol.
1%
イアン・カルデロン
$103,033 Vol.
1%
デイビッド・セーレン
$0 Vol.
1%
ソフィア・ブリンク
$37,751 Vol.
1%
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.California's nonpartisan top-two primary for governor on June 2, 2026, replacing term-limited incumbent Gavin Newsom, features a crowded field of eight Democrats and two Republicans with no dominant leader. Recent March polls—including Emerson College (March 7–9, Swalwell at 17%), Berkeley IGS (March 9–14, Hilton 17% and Bianco 16%), and Echelon Insights (March 12–17, Hilton 20%)—highlight Democratic fragmentation among candidates like Eric Swalwell, Katie Porter, and Tom Steyer, enabling Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco and commentator Steve Hilton to vie for advancement. High undecided rates (16–25%) and voter priorities on affordability and government waste underscore the volatile race, as ballots mail in late May ahead of early voting.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
マーケット開始日： Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
音量
$274,199終了日
Jun 2, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.California's nonpartisan top-two primary for governor on June 2, 2026, replacing term-limited incumbent Gavin Newsom, features a crowded field of eight Democrats and two Republicans with no dominant leader. Recent March polls—including Emerson College (March 7–9, Swalwell at 17%), Berkeley IGS (March 9–14, Hilton 17% and Bianco 16%), and Echelon Insights (March 12–17, Hilton 20%)—highlight Democratic fragmentation among candidates like Eric Swalwell, Katie Porter, and Tom Steyer, enabling Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco and commentator Steve Hilton to vie for advancement. High undecided rates (16–25%) and voter priorities on affordability and government waste underscore the volatile race, as ballots mail in late May ahead of early voting.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
音量
$274,199終了日
Jun 2, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...California's nonpartisan top-two primary for governor on June 2, 2026, replacing term-limited incumbent Gavin Newsom, features a crowded field of eight Democrats and two Republicans with no dominant leader. Recent March polls—including Emerson College (March 7–9, Swalwell at 17%), Berkeley IGS (March 9–14, Hilton 17% and Bianco 16%), and Echelon Insights (March 12–17, Hilton 20%)—highlight Democratic fragmentation among candidates like Eric Swalwell, Katie Porter, and Tom Steyer, enabling Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco and commentator Steve Hilton to vie for advancement. High undecided rates (16–25%) and voter priorities on affordability and government waste underscore the volatile race, as ballots mail in late May ahead of early voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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